DAATAN
DAATAN - Forecast Tracking
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100%
Confidence: 40
Sports
Chess
Javokhir Sindarov will lose his game in the FIDE Candidates Tournament 2026 played on April 14, 2026.
1
commitments
A
andrey1bar
A
100%
Confidence: 79
Geopolitics
politics
Peter Magyar will officially assume the role of Prime Minister of Hungary by December 31, 2026.
1
commitments
A
andrey1bar
A
100%
Confidence: 161
politics
Elections
Likud will win the next general election in Israel held by December 31, 2026.
2
commitments
K
komapc
A
100%
Confidence: 100
politics
Israel
A publicly reported congress or conference held in Israel will have exactly 50 participants by December 31, 2026.
1
commitments
K
komapc
A
80%
Confidence: 44
Conflict
Geopolitics
The conflict between Iran and its adversaries (e.g., US, Israel) will resume by April 23, 2026.
2
commitments
A
andrey1bar
A
0%
Technology
Language
Esperanto Wikipedia will have more than 400,000 articles by December 31, 2026.
1
commitments
K
komapc
A
36%
Geopolitics
Middle East
Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel on December 31, 2026.
2
commitments
RH
Roman Halfin
0%
Sports
Chess
Javokhir Sindarov will reach a FIDE standard rating of 2800 by December 31, 2026.
1
commitments
K
komapc
A
100%
Confidence: 157
Conflict
Geopolitics
At least one additional U.S. military aircraft will crash in the ongoing conflict involving Iran by December 31, 2026.
3
commitments
K
komapc
A
41%
Israel
Urban Development
The new central bus station in Tel Aviv will be demolished by December 31, 2030.
Personal
4
commitments
Maria Deshpet
0%
Geopolitics
Economy
The price of Brent crude oil will reach or exceed $200 per barrel before December 31, 2026.
1
commitments
K
komapc
A
100%
Confidence: 20
Technology
AI
By December 31, 2027, at least 20% of global programmer jobs will have been replaced by AI.
Personal
1
commitments
Ilya Levin
100%
Confidence: 153
Conflict
Geopolitics
The Israeli army will maintain a presence in Lebanese territory until at least December 31, 2026.
Personal
2
commitments
K
komapc
A
67%
Confidence: 30
Conflict
Geopolitics
Vladimir Putin will not die by December 31, 2026.
3
commitments
Yana Elisonian
50%
Confidence: 20
Conflict
Geopolitics
A ceasefire will be declared in the conflict involving Iran by April 30, 2026.
2
commitments
omri cohen-alloro
0%
Confidence: 105
Sports
Chess
Who will win the FIDE Candidates Tournament 2026?
5
commitments
K
komapc
A
50%
Confidence: 20
Tel Aviv
Urban Development
The New Central Bus Station in Tel Aviv will be demolished by December 31, 2029.
Personal
2
commitments
A
andrey1bar
A
Sports
NBA
Deni Avdija will not be selected for any of the All-NBA Teams by June 30, 2026.
A
andrey1bar
A
100%
Confidence: 60
Technology
Business
Daatan will have a higher reported active user count than Kalshi in Israel by December 31, 2027.
Personal
2
commitments
A
andrey1bar
A
87%
Confidence: 23
Sports
Chess
Fabiano Caruana will win the FIDE Candidates Tournament 2026.
2
commitments
A
andrey1bar
A
