The housing price index in Israel will be higher on December 31, 2026, than it was on December 31, 2025.

CreatedCreation date

Jun 28, 2026Jun 28, 2026, 06:51 PM UTC

ResolvesResolution date

Dec 31, 2026Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC

Context

The shekel's historical strength, recently touching NIS 3.04/$, is now reportedly being tested by security events.…

The shekel's historical strength, recently touching NIS 3.04/$, is now reportedly being tested by security events. Concurrently, two major US interest-rate-sensitive housing stocks, American Homes 4 Rent and Invitation Homes, received upgrades from BMO Capital and Wells Fargo, respectively.

Last updated: Jun 30, 2026, 12:57 PM UTC

Based on

msn.com

Evidence estimate

Oracul

53%± 14%

TruthMachine Oracle (news-indexer match) · 12 articles

Community 65%

You 50%

AI 53%

Forecasts History

Will happen2

Kron BM

70%

komapcAuthor

60%

Won't happen0

—

Sources behind the evidence estimate(14 publications)

Publications that fed the Oracul, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.

Press lean49% · will

Will happen (3)

jpost.com350–78%↑ 78%

Study finds crime costs Israeli households NIS 8,000 per year | The Jerusalem Post↑ 78%Bank of Israel lowers interest rate by half a point, now sitting at 3.5% | The Jerusalem Post↑ 73%Summer demand pushes consumer prices up, including rent, transportation costs | The Jerusalem Post–

finance.yahoo.comA weak yen turned Tokyo into a steal. A strong shekel turned Tel Aviv into the world’s most expensive city to buy McDonald’s↑ 78%

srugim.co.ilנתניהו שריין רק אשכנזים; כי המזרחיים ימשיכו להצביע לו - סרוגים↑ 73%

Won't happen (2)

en.globes.co.il711–72%↓ 11%

Some Tel Aviv home prices falling sharply, study finds↓ 11%Inflation in Israel falls to five-year low↓ 28%Apartments sold and rented↓ 28%Tel Aviv, Jerusalem lead home price falls↓ 19%Sharp jump in mortgage taking by foreign residents↑ 72%Home price gap widens between Tel Aviv and rest of Israel↑ 68%Israel's inflation rate falls to 1.5%–

ynetnews.comIsrael's interest rate increases for 10th time in a row↓ 10%

Neutral / unclear (1)

kikar.co.ilשמתם לב לזה? המוצרים שהציגו ירידה מפתיעה בחודש החגים–

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Forecast by komapc · opened Jun 28, 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 2 forecasters · community consensus 65% · evidence estimate 53% · open for forecasts.

Author

komapcAELO 1404

Creation date

Jun 28, 2026, 06:51 PM UTC

Resolution date

Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC

Discussion (0)

No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!