Loading your feed...

Forecasts

40%

2AI: 20%Geopolitics Africa

Somaliland will become an official part of the Abraham Accords by the end of 2027

52%

2Geopolitics politics

The US will officially recognise Somaliland by the end of 2027

83%

2AI: 50±41%politics Israeli Politics

The first government sworn in after the next Knesset elections will include at least one party from the current opposition and one party from the current coalition.

70%

1AI: 17±23%politics Elections

In the next Knesset elections, at least two parties currently represented in the Knesset will run and fail to pass the electoral threshold.

48%

1AI: 59±8%Geopolitics Middle East

Will rockets or drones be launched directly from Israel to Iran, or from Iran to Israel, till end of summer

20%

2AI: 64±10%Geopolitics Middle East

A Jewish settlement, official or unofficial, will be established in Lebanese territory by December 31, 2026.

37%

3AI: 59±13%Geopolitics Defense

The U.S. will formally approve an F-35 sale to Turkey by December 31, 2026.

44%

3AI: 30%Geopolitics Russia

There will be a military mobilisation in Russia by September 5, 2026.

75%

2AI: 71±22%politics Israeli Elections 2026

A single large political list will not be formed, including at least four of the following six politicians: Benny Gantz, Yoaz Hendel, Hili Tropper, Ayelet Shaked, Yuli Edelstein, and Gilaad Erdan, by the final deadline for submitting candidate lists for the next general elections in Israel, expected to take place by December 31, 2026.

25%

1AI: 74±6%Geopolitics France

France and Syria will announce the reopening of their respective embassies by January 7, 2027.

AI: 66±27%Geopolitics Iran

Iran will publicly present its new Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, by December 31, 2026.

AI: 32±12%Geopolitics Energy

Maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz will return to pre-conflict normal levels by September 30, 2026.

25%

1Geopolitics Middle East

Lebanon will officially recognize Israel by December 31, 2026.

69%

3AI: 67±10%Sports Football

France will win the 2026 World Cup by July 19, 2026.

31%

3AI: 75±10%Science Health

Humanity will defeat aging by December 31, 2032.

24%

2AI: 27±12%politics Elections

Likud will secure more than 33 seats in the next Israeli Knesset election by December 31, 2026.

91%

1AI: 95±1%politics Israel

The Israeli parliament will be dissolved by July 15, 2026.

34%

2AI: 63±37%politics Israel

Benjamin Netanyahu will be pardoned by December 31, 2026.

51%

2AI: 69±42%Technology AI

Cloud Mythos will be released before September 1, 2026.

65%

2Economy Israel

The housing price index in Israel will be higher on December 31, 2026, than it was on December 31, 2025.