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politics

32 active forecasts

19%
1AI: 46±11%politicsElections

Likud will secure more than 33 seats in the next Israeli Knesset election by December 31, 2026.

K
komapc
13%
1AI: 15%politicsIsrael

The Israeli parliament will be dissolved by July 15, 2026.

K
komapc
33%
1AI: 67±19%politicsIsrael

Benjamin Netanyahu will be pardoned by December 31, 2026.

K
komapc
70%
4AI: 30%politicsElections

At least one party will announce its withdrawal from the race for the 26th Knesset by the deadline for submitting candidate lists.

A
andrey1bar
75%
1AI: 58±24%politicsIsraeli Elections 2026

At least two Arab parties will run in the 2026 elections as a joint list.

A
andrey1bar
31%
2AI: 40%politicsIsraeli Elections 2026

Yoaz Hendel will run in the 26th Knesset elections as part of a party he leads or founded, and will not join another existing list.

A
andrey1bar
AI: 50±49%politicsIsraeli Elections

Benny Gantz's party will run in the 2026 elections without an electoral alliance with another party until the deadline for submitting lists to the Central Elections Committee.

A
andrey1bar
79%
1AI: 57±14%politicsGeopolitics

Bolivia's nationwide state of emergency will be officially lifted by December 31, 2026.

K
komapc
85%
3AI: 55±31%politicsGeopolitics

The next Israeli government will not include any Arab ministers by December 31, 2026.

K
komapc
65%
1AI: 32±27%politicsIsrael

A law mandating Haredi enlistment into the Israel Defense Forces will be passed by the Knesset by December 31, 2030.

K
komapc
40%
1AI: 49±24%Europepolitics

The European Union will admit at least two new member states by May 28, 2028.

K
komapc
53%
2AI: 45%GeopoliticsEurope

By December 31, 2028, Montenegro will become a full member state of the European Union.

KB
Kron BM
60%
2AI: 60±18%politicsIsrael

Benjamin Netanyahu will form the next government in Israel by December 31, 2026.

Ori zimroni
Ori zimroni
64%
2AI: 48%politicsLaw

The death penalty will be fully abolished in Israel by May 18, 2031.

K
komapc
65%
3AI: 57±8%GeopoliticsRussia

Vladimir Putin will not be the President of Russia by May 8, 2027.

A
andrey1bar
42%
2AI: 29±26%politicsGeopolitics

Vladimir Putin will officially receive less than 60% of the total votes in the next Russian presidential election held by December 31, 2026.

K
komapc
78%
1AI: 85%Technologypolitics

At least three additional US states will pass comprehensive right-to-repair legislation by December 31, 2026.

K
komapc
72%
2AI: 40%politicsGeopolitics

A significant public split within the Russian political or security elites will occur due to internet blockades by January 1 2029 00:01

Polina Ber
Polina Ber
51%
7AI: 56±26%politicsElections

Benjamin Netanyahu will win the 2026 Israeli general election and be appointed Prime Minister.

Yana Elisonian
Yana Elisonian
91%
3AI: 76±6%politicsEurope

Peter Magyar will officially assume the role of Prime Minister of Hungary by December 31, 2026.

A
andrey1bar
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