Mar 7, 2027

Community 70%

Eisenkot will offer Netanyahu a unity government with a state commission of inquiry and an agreed framework for the conscription law.

CreatedCreation date

Oct 30, 2026Oct 30, 2026, 02:44 PM UTC

ResolvesResolution date

Mar 7, 2027Mar 7, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC

Context

The elections for the 26th Knesset ended without a majority for any of the blocs: the Netanyahu bloc received 53 seats, the Change bloc 48, and the Arab parties 19.…

The elections for the 26th Knesset ended without a majority for any of the blocs: the Netanyahu bloc received 53 seats, the Change bloc 48, and the Arab parties 19. One of the options to resolve the deadlock is a unity government between Eisenkot and Netanyahu.…

Community 70%

You 50%

AI 44%

Based on 21 sources · how this is calculated

Forecasts History

Will happen1

andrey1barAuthor

70%

Won't happen0

—

Sources behind the evidence estimate(21 publications)

Publications that fed the Oracul, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.

Press lean40% · will

Will happen (1)

jns.orgIsrael needs a coalition of the majority↑ 60%

Won't happen (5)

srugim.co.il622–50%↓ 30%

איזנקוט באזהרה חריפה: "זה רק קדימון למה שיקרה" - סרוגים↓ 30%דיווח: הדיל שגוש השינוי יציע לנתניהו - סרוגים↓ 27%"יהיה ניסיון להתערב בבחירות ולייצר אירועים ביטחוניים" - סרוגים↓ 33%איזנקוט מגיב לנתניהו: "תסתכל לי ולעם ישראל בעיניים" - סרוגים↓ 33%שבוע לבחירות: גדי איזנקוט בהצהרה דרמטית - סרוגים↓ 22%איזנקוט: "לא מצטער שהצטרפנו לממשלת נתניהו" - סרוגים–

jpost.com510–65%↓ 10%

Israel Election 2026: Gadi Eisenkot says he will not join coalition under Benjamin Netanyahu | The Jerusalem Post↓ 10%Israel needs a unity government, and President Isaac Herzog must make it happen | The Jerusalem Post↓ 33%Any unity deal must start with the leaders who are here, including Benjamin Netanyahu | The Jerusalem Post↑ 65%To become prime minister, Gadi Eisenkot or Benjamin Netanyahu may have to betray campaign p | The Jerusalem Post↑ 63%Benjamin Netanyahu, Gadi Eisenkot must form unity government | The Jerusalem Post–

kikar.co.il330–50%↓ 33%

נתניהו מיישר קו עם הדרישה של המפלגות החרדיות: "חוק גיוס…↓ 33%איזנקוט בהצהרה מצולמת: "במשרדים ממש לידי עובדים כבר צוותי…↓ 30%איזנקוט תוקף את נתניהו: "רצף השקרים שלו - מכמיר לב"–

ynet.co.il230–50%↓ 30%

איזנקוט אחרי התוצאות: "אני מתכוון להקים ממשלה חדשה וטובה" | האזינו↓ 30%איזנקוט חושף: השאירו על קבר בני הודעה מאיימת כלפיי–

israelnationalnews.comNetanyahu defends draft dodgers: 'These arrests are not acceptable'↓ 33%

Neutral / unclear (3)

aa.com.trCould unity government offer way out of Israel’s electoral deadlock?–

timesofindia.indiatimes.comNetanyahu's unity government gambit: Can he lure Eisenkot from opposition?–

tagesschau.deVor Wahl in Israel: Ex-General Eisenkot könnte Netanjahu schlagen–

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Forecast by andrey1bar · opened Oct 30, 2026 · resolves Mar 7, 2027 · 1 forecaster · community consensus 70% · evidence estimate 44% · open for forecasts.

Author

andrey1barAELO 1445

Creation date

Oct 30, 2026, 02:44 PM UTC

Resolution date

Mar 7, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC

Discussion (0)

No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!

Eisenkot will offer Netanyahu a unity government with a state commission of inquiry and an agreed framework for the conscription law.

Context

Forecasts History

Sources behind the evidence estimate(21 publications)

Discussion (0)

Discussion (0)

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