Israeli Elections 2026 forecasts | Daatan | DAATAN

Israeli Elections 2026

16 active forecasts

64%

3AI: 17±22%politics Elections

Am Yisrael will not pass the electoral threshold in the next general elections for the Knesset by December 31, 2026.

72%

3AI: 43±34%politics Elections

The next Prime Minister of Israel (after the October 27, 2026 Knesset elections) will serve for less than a full four-year term.

81%

2AI: 56±10%politics Elections

The voting percentage of Haredi Jews will be higher than that of non-Haredi Jews in the Israeli elections on October 27, 2026.

15%

1AI: 59±13%politics Israel

Naftali Bennett will be sworn in as the next Prime Minister of Israel.

49%

3AI: 56±12%politics Elections

In the next Knesset elections, no single party will receive more than 25 seats.

73%

4AI: 62±6%politics Elections

Gadi Eisenkot will be Prime Minister of Israel after the elections held on October 27, 2026, possibly as part of a rotation agreement.

72%

4AI: 62±5%politics Israeli Politics

The first government sworn in after the next Knesset elections will include at least one party from the current opposition and one party from the current coalition.

57%

2AI: 61±5%politics Elections

In the next Knesset elections, at least two parties currently represented in the Knesset will run and fail to pass the electoral threshold.

17%

4AI: 22±7%politics Elections

Likud will secure more than 33 seats in the next Israeli Knesset election by December 31, 2026.

85%

3AI: 48±6%politics Geopolitics

The next Israeli government will not include any Arab ministers by December 31, 2026.

65%

1AI: 51±12%politics Israel

A law mandating Haredi enlistment into the Israel Defense Forces will be passed by the Knesset by December 31, 2030.

60%

2AI: 46±6%politics Israel

Benjamin Netanyahu will form the next government in Israel by December 31, 2026.

51%

7AI: 45±5%politics Elections

Benjamin Netanyahu will win the 2026 Israeli general election and be appointed Prime Minister.

65%

3AI: 45±6%politics Elections

Likud will win the next general election in Israel held by December 31, 2026.

41%

3AI: 49±7%politics Geopolitics

Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel on December 31, 2026.

55%

4AI: 41±7%politics Elections

Benjamin Netanyahu will be appointed Prime Minister of Israel following the next general election, by December 31, 2026.