Israeli Elections 2026

9 active forecasts

75%

1AI: 58±24%politics Israeli Elections 2026

At least two Arab parties will run in the 2026 elections as a joint list.

31%

2AI: 40%politics Israeli Elections 2026

Yoaz Hendel will run in the 26th Knesset elections as part of a party he leads or founded, and will not join another existing list.

85%

3AI: 55±31%politics Geopolitics

The next Israeli government will not include any Arab ministers by December 31, 2026.

65%

1AI: 32±27%politics Israel

A law mandating Haredi enlistment into the Israel Defense Forces will be passed by the Knesset by December 31, 2030.

60%

2AI: 60±18%politics Israel

Benjamin Netanyahu will form the next government in Israel by December 31, 2026.

51%

7AI: 56±26%politics Elections

Benjamin Netanyahu will win the 2026 Israeli general election and be appointed Prime Minister.

90%

2AI: 56±13%politics Elections

Likud will win the next general election in Israel held by December 31, 2026.

41%

3AI: 43±34%politics Geopolitics

Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel on December 31, 2026.

70%

3AI: 56±20%politics Elections

Benjamin Netanyahu will be appointed Prime Minister of Israel following the next general election, by December 31, 2026.