Evgeny Ber

JoinedMarch 2026

ELO Rating

1469

all topics · head-to-head

Everyone starts at 1500. Beat the other forecasters on the same event and you take points from them; lose and they take yours.

Wrong

France will win World Cup

France will win the 2026 World Cup by July 19, 2026.

Humanity will defeat aging by December 31, 2032.

Performance

Accuracy50%8 resolved

The share of resolved forecasts that turned out right. Ignores how confident you were.

Brier Score0.2948 scored · lower is better

How close the probabilities were to what actually happened: (probability − outcome)², averaged. 0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip, lower is better.