Dec 31, 2032
Community 18%
Humanity will defeat aging by December 31, 2032.
Forecast by Evgeny Ber · opened Jul 4, 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2032 · 2 forecasters · community consensus 18% · AI estimate 75% · open for forecasts.
Creation date
Jul 4, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC
Resolution date
Dec 31, 2032, 11:59 PM UTC
Recent reports from July 2026 highlight Ray Kurzweil's continued assertion that aging could cease to be a one-way process by 2032, driven by advancements in AI, computational medicine, and molecular biology. This reiterates his optimistic forecast, which he terms "longevity escape velocity," within the specified timeframe.
Community 18%
You 50%
AI 75%
includes time-remaining adjustment — deadline in 2373 days
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Forecasts History
Will happen0
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Won't happen2
Sources behind the AI estimate(1 publication)
Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.
Press lean80% · will
Press leans toward 'will happen' · 80%Discussion (0)
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Author
Evgeny BerReputation 60Creation date
Jul 4, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC
Resolution date
Dec 31, 2032, 11:59 PM UTC
Discussion (0)
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