Sub-nanometer chips (memory/CPU) will be available in market laptops by December 31, 2030.

CreatedCreation date

Oct 21, 2026Oct 21, 2026, 07:43 AM UTC

ResolvesResolution date

Dec 31, 2030Dec 31, 2030, 11:59 PM UTC

Context

IBM has recently unveiled the world's first sub-1 nanometer chip technology, demonstrating a significant breakthrough in semiconductor manufacturing.…

IBM has recently unveiled the world's first sub-1 nanometer chip technology, demonstrating a significant breakthrough in semiconductor manufacturing. Concurrently, TSMC's roadmap indicates a target for sub-1nm chip production by 2029, with Apple potentially integrating these advanced chips into MacBooks as early as 2029.

Based on

newsroom.ibm.com

Community 42%

You 50%

AI 80%

The pool behind this number currently holds no usable evidence — every article gathered for this claim failed extraction or was set aside. The estimate stands until fresh evidence lands, but nothing here backs it.

Model estimate without external sources · how this is calculated

includes time-remaining adjustment — deadline in 1533 days

Forecasts History

Will happen0

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Won't happen1

komapcAuthor

42%

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Forecast by komapc · opened Oct 21, 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2030 · 1 forecaster · community consensus 42% · evidence estimate 80% · open for forecasts.

Author

komapcAELO 1395

Creation date

Oct 21, 2026, 07:43 AM UTC

Resolution date

Dec 31, 2030, 11:59 PM UTC

Discussion (0)

No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!