Technology

20 active forecasts

18%

2AI: 75±10%Science Health

Humanity will defeat aging by December 31, 2032.

51%

2AI: 75±37%Technology AI

Cloud Mythos will be released before September 1, 2026.

9%

3AI: 42±43%Business Technology

Mark Zuckerberg will achieve a net worth of $1 trillion by December 31, 2026.

31%

2AI: 55%Technology Social Media

Elon Musk will tweet about Daatan by December 31, 2028.

AI: 65±9%Technology Business

The Commodore Callback 8020 flip phone will sell more than 100,000 units globally by December 31, 2027.

65%

1AI: 5%Business Technology

DAATAN will be a well-known brand in Israel, comparable to or exceeding Wix's brand recognition, by December 31, 2027.

57%

2AI: 81±12%AI Technology

ChatGPT will be the most commonly used AI tool worldwide, including for code writing, by June 9, 2028

71%

3AI: 82±15%Geopolitics Iran

Iran will continue to enforce its two-tier internet access regime for the general public by December 31, 2026.

38%

3AI: 69±12%Business Technology

The Trump Mobile T1 smartphone will be delivered to pre-order customers by December 31, 2026.

AI: 55±22%AI Technology

Large language models (LLMs) will be capable of writing binary code directly, bypassing traditional programming languages, with performance at least equivalent to code written using programming languages, by May 8, 2028.

73%

2AI: 20%Technology AI

Google Search will no longer display a traditional list of organic search results alongside its AI-generated responses for standard queries by May 4, 2027.

78%

1AI: 85%Technology politics

At least three additional US states will pass comprehensive right-to-repair legislation by December 31, 2026.

26%

1AI: 50%Technology Language

Esperanto Wikipedia will have more than 400,000 articles by December 31, 2026.

74%

2AI: 41±8%AI Technology

By December 31, 2027, at least 20% of global programmer jobs will have been replaced by AI.

65%

2Business Technology

Daatan will have a higher reported active user count than Kalshi in Israel by December 31, 2027.

43%

2Technology Geopolitics

Telegram will be unblocked in Russia by the end of October 2026.

55%

1AI: 74±4%Technology Business

Kalshi will become more popular than Polymarket by December 31, 2026.

AI: 26±29%Technology AI

Meta's Moltbook AI venture will be widely reported by major financial news outlets as a financial bubble that has burst by March 12, 2027.

AI: 64±7%Technology AI

India will be widely recognized as a significant global hub for affordable and scalable artificial intelligence by December 31, 2026.

AI: 72±7%AI Technology

At least two other major AI developers will publicly publish their prompt injection failure rates by the end of 2026.