AI

8 active forecasts

51%

2AI: 75±37%Technology AI

Cloud Mythos will be released before September 1, 2026.

57%

2AI: 81±12%AI Technology

ChatGPT will be the most commonly used AI tool worldwide, including for code writing, by June 9, 2028

AI: 55±22%AI Technology

Large language models (LLMs) will be capable of writing binary code directly, bypassing traditional programming languages, with performance at least equivalent to code written using programming languages, by May 8, 2028.

73%

2AI: 20%Technology AI

Google Search will no longer display a traditional list of organic search results alongside its AI-generated responses for standard queries by May 4, 2027.

74%

2AI: 41±8%AI Technology

By December 31, 2027, at least 20% of global programmer jobs will have been replaced by AI.

AI: 26±29%Technology AI

Meta's Moltbook AI venture will be widely reported by major financial news outlets as a financial bubble that has burst by March 12, 2027.

AI: 64±7%Technology AI

India will be widely recognized as a significant global hub for affordable and scalable artificial intelligence by December 31, 2026.

AI: 72±7%AI Technology

At least two other major AI developers will publicly publish their prompt injection failure rates by the end of 2026.