Skill Rating
1500
± 350 uncertainty
Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg
Performance
ELO Rating1500global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2μ 1500global · ± 350 uncertainty
Reputation100.0 RSglobal · pool-based
Glicko-2 Skill History
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The Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) will officially confirm that Russia violated the Chemical Weapons Convention in connection with Alexei Navalny's death by December 31, 2026.
2commitments
Mark Janwuf
AITechnology
At least two other major AI developers will publicly publish their prompt injection failure rates by the end of 2026.
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The United Nations will grant Palestine full member state status by February 7, 2028.
1commitments
Mark Janwuf
ScienceMiddle East
An earthquake with a magnitude of 5.0 or greater will occur within Israel's internationally recognized borders between February 7, 2026, and February 7, 2031.
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A formal, signed ceasefire agreement between Ukraine and Russia will be publicly announced and take effect.
1commitments
Mark Janwuf
politicsGeopolitics