Dec 31, 2026
Community 50%
A current head of government or head of state from the UK or Norway will lose their position or formally resign due to revelations in the Epstein files by the end of 2026.
CreatedCreation date
Feb 6, 2026Feb 6, 2026, 08:20 PM UTC
ResolvesResolution date
Dec 31, 2026Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Revelations from the recently unsealed Epstein files have already sparked political turmoil in multiple countries. In Norway, two high-profile politicians and the crown princess have been linked, while British Prime Minister Keir Starmer is reportedly in grave peril of losing his job, despite not being directly involved with Epstein. These disclosures continue to impact global political figures.
Community 50%
You 50%
AI 76%
includes time-remaining adjustment — deadline in 171 days
Sources behind the AI estimate(8 publications)
Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.
Press lean66% · will
Press leans toward 'will happen' · 66%Will happen (5)
Ccnbc.com2↑ 83%
Aaljazeera.com2↑ 80%
F
france24.comBritish PM Starmer announces resignation: What happens next?↑ 72%D
dw.com↑ 68%B
bbc.comCómo Keir Starmer pasó de tener una victoria electoral aplastante en Reino Unido a renunciar menos de dos años después de asumir como primer ministro - BBC News Mundo↑ 66%
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Forecast by Mark Janwuf · opened Feb 6, 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 0 forecasters · AI estimate 76% · open for forecasts.
Creation date
Feb 6, 2026, 08:20 PM UTC
Resolution date
Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Discussion (0)
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!