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Geopolitics

55 active forecasts

AI: 75±10%GeopoliticsConflict

Ukraine will successfully strike the Kerch Bridge by August 6, 2026.

K
komapc
79%
1AI: 57±14%politicsGeopolitics

Bolivia's nationwide state of emergency will be officially lifted by December 31, 2026.

K
komapc
12%
6AI: 35%GeopoliticsConflict

Volodymyr Zelensky will meet Vladimir Putin by July 17, 2026.

K
komapc
42%
4AI: 43±15%GeopoliticsConflict

Israel will withdraw its troops from southern Lebanon by December 31, 2026.

A
andrey1bar
85%
3AI: 55±31%politicsGeopolitics

The next Israeli government will not include any Arab ministers by December 31, 2026.

K
komapc
48%
2AI: 44±20%GeopoliticsConflict

Ukraine will obtain more territory than it loses in its ongoing war with Russia by July 31, 2026.

A
andrey1bar
53%
1AI: 80%ConflictAfrica

A new military conflict will begin in Africa before December 3, 2026.

K
komapc
45%
2AI: 69±1%GeopoliticsEurope

Armenia will join the European Union by December 31, 2026.

K
komapc
40%
1AI: 49±24%Europepolitics

The European Union will admit at least two new member states by May 28, 2028.

K
komapc
53%
2AI: 45%GeopoliticsEurope

By December 31, 2028, Montenegro will become a full member state of the European Union.

KB
Kron BM
65%
1AI: 40±13%GeopoliticsConflict

Israel will engage in a significant military conflict with Iran by October 27, 2026.

A
andrey1bar
71%
3AI: 82±15%GeopoliticsIran

Iran will continue to enforce its two-tier internet access regime for the general public by December 31, 2026.

K
komapc
65%
3AI: 57±8%GeopoliticsRussia

Vladimir Putin will not be the President of Russia by May 8, 2027.

A
andrey1bar
41%
2AI: 30%GeopoliticsConflict

Turkey will acquire nuclear weapons by May 6, 2029.

DM
Dor Moriah
AI: 50%GeopoliticsMiddle East

Will diplomatic relations between Israel and Turkey be officially restored to ambassadorial level by December 31, 2026?

A
andrey1bar
29%
1AI: 75±15%GeopoliticsConflict

Israel will establish a long-term military occupation of a part of southern Lebanon by December 31, 2026.

K
komapc
42%
2AI: 29±26%politicsGeopolitics

Vladimir Putin will officially receive less than 60% of the total votes in the next Russian presidential election held by December 31, 2026.

K
komapc
AI: 40%GeopoliticsConflict

The Houthi movement will lose control of at least one significant territory currently under its control by December 31, 2026.

K
komapc
57%
5AI: 34±35%GeopoliticsConflict

A ceasefire lasting longer than one week will not be implemented in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026.

Lev Kan
Lev Kan
AI: 42±30%EnergyEconomy

The price of Brent crude oil will reach or exceed $130 per barrel on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) before December 31, 2026.

K
komapc
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