Geopolitics

75 active forecasts

AI: 58±9%Economy US Politics

Donald Trump will restore 50% tariffs on Canadian goods, at least temporarily, by December 31, 2026.

komapc

70%

1AI: 66±4%Geopolitics Conflict

Israel will carry out a new aerial attack on Iranian territory by October 27, 2026.

Kron BM

74%

3AI: 66±5%Geopolitics Conflict

At least one more drone will fall in one of the Baltic countries after August 15 and by September 15, 2026.

komapc

72%

3AI: 55±4%Geopolitics Iran

The current regime in Iran will collapse by August 10, 2029.

Maria Deshpet

AI: 58±9%Geopolitics Middle East

Israel and Lebanon will sign a formal agreement on security or border arrangements by November 6, 2026.

komapc

18%

1AI: 38±7%Geopolitics Conflict

The IDF will begin withdrawing forces beyond the Yellow Line in Gaza before September 20, 2026.

komapc

22%

1AI: 48±4%Geopolitics Conflict

The United States grants Ukraine a license to produce Patriot missile systems by October 31, 2026.

komapc

AI: 43±8%Geopolitics Migration

Spain will complete construction of the announced Ceuta breakwater containment barrier by September 1, 2026.

komapc

55%

2AI: 63±4%Technology Geopolitics

Telegram will be officially forbidden in Russia by December 31, 2026.

komapc

23%

2AI: 61±31%politics Geopolitics

Vladimir Putin's illness will be reported by December 31, 2026.

Arkady

79%

3AI: 59±4%Geopolitics Iran

Iran will initiate a direct military strike against Israel before Israel initiates a direct military strike against Iran by July 22, 2031.

komapc

60%

1AI: 49±6%Geopolitics Conflict

The United States will conduct a ground invasion of Kharg Island by December 31, 2026

komapc

71%

2AI: 50±49%Geopolitics politics

The Lukashenko will not be a leader of Belarus by July 17, 2031.

komapc

AI: 58±9%Geopolitics Middle East

Oman will join the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026.

komapc

49%

3AI: 62±28%Geopolitics Middle East

Egypt will join the Abraham Accords by January 1st, 2030.

Kobi Kai Calev

29%

3AI: 58±4%Geopolitics Conflict

The Ukrainian army takes back, at least temporarily, a part of occupied Crimea by December 31, 2026.

komapc

40%

2AI: 56±16%Geopolitics Africa

Somaliland will become an official part of the Abraham Accords by the end of 2027

Kobi Kai Calev

50%

3AI: 62±40%Geopolitics politics

The US will officially recognise Somaliland by the end of 2027

Kobi Kai Calev

48%

1AI: 67±3%Geopolitics Middle East

Rockets or drones are launched directly from Israel to Iran, or from Iran to Israel, by 31 August 2026.

komapc

25%

3AI: 49±13%Geopolitics Middle East

A Jewish settlement, official or unofficial, will be established in Lebanese territory by December 31, 2026.

komapc

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