What are the chances that Israel and Lebanon will sign a formal agreement on security or border arrangements by November 6, 2026? As of Aug 20, 2026: the AI estimate is 58%. · Updated Aug 20, 2026
includes time-remaining adjustment — deadline in 79 days
Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.
Will happen (14)
Won't happen (2)
Neutral / unclear (1)
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Forecast by komapc · opened Aug 6, 2026 · resolves Nov 6, 2026 · 0 forecasters · AI estimate 58% · open for forecasts.
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