DAATANDAATAN

Middle East

24 active forecasts

19%
1AI: 46±11%politicsElections

Likud will secure more than 33 seats in the next Israeli Knesset election by December 31, 2026.

42%
4AI: 43±15%GeopoliticsConflict

Israel will withdraw its troops from southern Lebanon by December 31, 2026.

85%
3AI: 55±31%politicsGeopolitics

The next Israeli government will not include any Arab ministers by December 31, 2026.

64%
2AI: 48%politicsLaw

The death penalty will be fully abolished in Israel by May 18, 2031.

65%
1AI: 40±13%GeopoliticsConflict

Israel will engage in a significant military conflict with Iran by October 27, 2026.

Turkey will acquire nuclear weapons by May 6, 2029.

Will diplomatic relations between Israel and Turkey be officially restored to ambassadorial level by December 31, 2026?

29%
1AI: 75±15%GeopoliticsConflict

Israel will establish a long-term military occupation of a part of southern Lebanon by December 31, 2026.

The Houthi movement will lose control of at least one significant territory currently under its control by December 31, 2026.

75%
2AI: 84±11%GeopoliticsConflict

The military conflict between the United States and Iran will formally end by December 31, 2026.

48%
2AI: 70±9%GeopoliticsConflict

Israel will establish a permanent buffer zone in southern Lebanon and official sources will confirm the dismantling of Hezbollah's military infrastructure within that zone by December 31, 2026.

51%
7AI: 56±26%politicsElections

Benjamin Netanyahu will win the 2026 Israeli general election and be appointed Prime Minister.

41%
3AI: 43±34%politicsGeopolitics

Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel on December 31, 2026.

88%
2AI: 89±17%GeopoliticsConflict

The Israeli army will maintain a presence in Lebanese territory until at least December 31, 2026.

70%
3AI: 56±20%politicsElections

Benjamin Netanyahu will be appointed Prime Minister of Israel following the next general election, by December 31, 2026.

US forces will initiate a large-scale ground invasion and occupation of Kharg Island, Iran, by December 31, 2026.

The government of Iraq will formally declare war on Iran or officially commit its national military forces to direct combat operations against Iran by December 31, 2026.

All active armed conflicts globally will cease by December 31, 2026.

The United States will deploy ground troops to Iran by December 31, 2026.

Turkey will conduct a ground invasion of Lebanon by December 31, 2026.

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