Israel and Syria will normalize relations by December 31, 2026.

Name: Israel and Syria will normalize relations by December 31, 2026.
Start: 2026-08-21T11:56:04.638Z
End: 2026-12-31T23:59:59.000Z
Location: DAATAN

What are the chances that Israel and Syria will normalize relations by December 31, 2026? As of Aug 21, 2026: the AI estimate is 21%; the community estimate is 35%. · Updated Aug 21, 2026

CreatedCreation date

Aug 21, 2026Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 AM UTC

ResolvesResolution date

Dec 31, 2026Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC

Forecasts History

Will happen0

—

Won't happen1

komapcAuthor

35%

Sources behind the AI estimate(3 publications)

Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.

Press lean13% · will

Won't happen (2)

aljazeera.net213–15%↓ 13%

خرائط وصور فضائية.. كيف تبدو التوغلات الإسرائيلية في سوريا منذ سقوط الأسد؟↓ 13%سوريا الجديدة تتمسك ببناء جيشها رغم الضغوط والتوغلات الإسرائيلية↓ 15%

Guy Bechorמעכשיו - "סוריה" היא ישות אויב, והמשטר שלה הוא מסוכן, אלקאעדה עם חומרים גרעיניים. ישראל לא רק שלא תאפשר לנאצים הטורקים להיכנס ל"סוריה", יש לה חובה לחסל את הגרעין של אלקאעדה ולהפיל את המשטר.↓ 10%

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Forecast by komapc · opened Aug 21, 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 1 forecaster · community consensus 35% · AI estimate 21% · open for forecasts.

Author

komapcAReputation 104

Creation date

Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 AM UTC

Resolution date

Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC

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Israel and Syria will normalize relations by December 31, 2026.

Situation

Forecasts History

Sources behind the AI estimate(3 publications)

Discussion (0)

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