includes time-remaining adjustment — deadline in 491 days
Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.
Will happen (3)
Won't happen (1)
Neutral / unclear (3)
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Forecast by Kobi Kai Calev · opened Jul 13, 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2027 · 2 forecasters · community consensus 40% · AI estimate 56% · open for forecasts.
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