a
andrey1bar
A@andrey1bar
JoinedFebruary 2026
Skill Rating
1475
± 230 uncertainty
Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg
Performance
ELO Rating1453global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2μ 1475global · ± 230 uncertainty
Brier Score0.42510 scored · lower is better
Accuracy50%14 resolved
ROI-11.17RS / resolved prediction
AI Score-0.881 scored
Reputation0.0 RSglobal · pool-based
Glicko-2 Skill History
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Benjamin Netanyahu will lead his party to victory in the next general election in Israel by December 31, 2026.
No source link
1commitments
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Elon Musk will tweet about Daatan by December 31, 2028.
No source link
2commitments
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Israel will withdraw its troops from southern Lebanon by December 31, 2026.
2commitments
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DAATAN will be a well-known brand in Israel, comparable to or exceeding Wix's brand recognition, by December 31, 2027.
No source link
1commitments
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The New York Knicks will win the 2026 NBA Finals series against the San Antonio Spurs by June 30, 2026.
2commitments
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Ariel Galili will earn 30,000 shekels by December 31, 2026.
No source link
3commitments
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Ukraine will obtain more territory than it loses in its ongoing war with Russia by July 31, 2026.
1commitments
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Wrong
GeopoliticsConflict
Will Ben Gurion Airport in Israel be closed due to war by May 28, 2026?
No source link
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Israel will engage in a significant military conflict with Iran by October 27, 2026.
1commitments
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Vladimir Putin will not be the President of Russia by May 8, 2027.
3commitments
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AI: 50%GeopoliticsMiddle East
Will diplomatic relations between Israel and Turkey be officially restored to ambassadorial level by December 31, 2026?
Wrong
2SportsNBA
The Denver Nuggets will win their NBA playoff series against the Minnesota Timberwolves.
2commitments
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Magnus Carlsen will return to compete for the World Classical Chess Championship by December 31, 2027, if Nodirbek Sindarov defeats D. Gukesh in a classical chess match with a score difference of +2 or more.
No source link
2commitments
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The military conflict between the United States and Iran will formally end by December 31, 2026.
2commitments
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Yağız Kaan Erdoğmuş will become one of the top 10 ranked chess players in the world by December 31, 2026.
3commitments
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Israel will establish a permanent buffer zone in southern Lebanon and official sources will confirm the dismantling of Hezbollah's military infrastructure within that zone by December 31, 2026.
2commitments
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The Russian economy will experience a larger budget deficit as a percentage of GDP in 2026 compared to 2025, as reported by March 31, 2027.
4commitments
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Correct
1SportsNBA
Portland will win at least one game against San Antonio in their playoff series by May 15, 2026.
1commitments
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Wrong
2ChessSports
Javokhir Sindarov will lose his game in the FIDE Candidates Tournament 2026 played on April 14, 2026.
2commitments
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Peter Magyar will officially assume the role of Prime Minister of Hungary by December 31, 2026.
3commitments
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