a
andrey1bar
A@andrey1bar
JoinedFebruary 2026
Skill Rating
1475
± 230 uncertainty
Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg
Performance
ELO Rating1453global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2μ 1475global · ± 230 uncertainty
Brier Score0.42510 scored · lower is better
Accuracy50%14 resolved
ROI-11.17RS / resolved prediction
AI Score-0.881 scored
Reputation0.0 RSglobal · pool-based
Glicko-2 Skill History
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Elon Musk will tweet about Daatan by December 31, 2028.
No source link
2commitments
A
andrey1barA
YES
Pending
2TechnologyBusiness
Fable will be reenabled for Americans before June 20, 2026.
No source link
2commitments
K
komapcA
NO
—
Volodymyr Zelensky will meet Vladimir Putin by July 17, 2026.
4commitments
K
komapcA
NO
—
Israel will withdraw its troops from southern Lebanon by December 31, 2026.
2commitments
A
andrey1barA
YES
—
DAATAN will be a well-known brand in Israel, comparable to or exceeding Wix's brand recognition, by December 31, 2027.
No source link
1commitments
A
andrey1barA
YES
—
The New York Knicks will win the 2026 NBA Finals series against the San Antonio Spurs by June 30, 2026.
2commitments
A
andrey1barA
YES
—
The next Israeli government will not include any Arab ministers by December 31, 2026.
3commitments
K
komapcA
YES
—
Ariel Galili will earn 30,000 shekels by December 31, 2026.
No source link
3commitments
A
andrey1barA
YES
—
Ukraine will obtain more territory than it loses in its ongoing war with Russia by July 31, 2026.
1commitments
A
andrey1barA
YES
—
The death penalty will be fully abolished in Israel by May 18, 2031.
2commitments
K
komapcA
YES
—
Israel will engage in a significant military conflict with Iran by October 27, 2026.
1commitments
A
andrey1barA
YES
—
Iran will continue to enforce its two-tier internet access regime for the general public by December 31, 2026.
3commitments
K
komapcA
YES
—
Vladimir Putin will not be the President of Russia by May 8, 2027.
3commitments
A
andrey1barA
YES
—
Google Search will no longer display a traditional list of organic search results alongside its AI-generated responses for standard queries by May 4, 2027.
2commitments
K
komapcA
YES
—
Vladimir Putin will officially receive less than 60% of the total votes in the next Russian presidential election held by December 31, 2026.
2commitments
K
komapcA
NO
—
A ceasefire lasting longer than one week will not be implemented in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026.
4commitments
Lev Kan
YES
Wrong
2SportsNBA
The Denver Nuggets will win their NBA playoff series against the Minnesota Timberwolves.
2commitments
A
andrey1barA
YES
—
Magnus Carlsen will return to compete for the World Classical Chess Championship by December 31, 2027, if Nodirbek Sindarov defeats D. Gukesh in a classical chess match with a score difference of +2 or more.
No source link
2commitments
A
andrey1barA
YES
—
Yağız Kaan Erdoğmuş will become one of the top 10 ranked chess players in the world by December 31, 2026.
3commitments
A
andrey1barA
YES
—
Israel will establish a permanent buffer zone in southern Lebanon and official sources will confirm the dismantling of Hezbollah's military infrastructure within that zone by December 31, 2026.
2commitments
A
andrey1barA
YES