a
andrey1bar
A@andrey1bar
JoinedFebruary 2026
Skill Rating
1475
± 230 uncertainty
Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg
Performance
ELO Rating1453global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2μ 1475global · ± 230 uncertainty
Brier Score0.42510 scored · lower is better
Accuracy50%14 resolved
ROI-11.17RS / resolved prediction
AI Score-0.881 scored
Reputation0.0 RSglobal · pool-based
Glicko-2 Skill History
Loading…
Correct
3GeopoliticsConflict
The conflict between Iran and its adversaries (e.g., US, Israel) will resume by April 23, 2026.
3commitments
A
andrey1barA
—
The New Central Bus Station in Tel Aviv will be demolished by December 31, 2029.
No source link
2commitments
A
andrey1barA
—
Daatan will have a higher reported active user count than Kalshi in Israel by December 31, 2027.
No source link
2commitments
A
andrey1barA
Wrong
2SportsChess
Fabiano Caruana will win the FIDE Candidates Tournament 2026.
2commitments
A
andrey1barA
Unresolvable
4EconomyCurrencies
The Israeli Shekel will strengthen against the Chinese Yuan by March 31, 2026.
4commitments
A
andrey1barA
Correct
2ConflictGeopolitics
The major hostilities in the ongoing conflict in the Middle East will not formally end by March 8, 2026.
2commitments
A
andrey1barA
Correct
1SportsNBA
The Portland Trail Blazers will not win the NBA championship by the end of the 2026 season.
1commitments
A
andrey1barA
Correct
1GeopoliticsConflict
The United States will not conduct a military strike against Iran by February 22, 2026.
1commitments
A
andrey1barA