Yağız Kaan Erdoğmuş will become one of the top 10 ranked chess players in the world by December 31, 2026.

CreatedCreation date

Apr 21, 2026Apr 21, 2026, 09:23 AM UTC

ResolvesResolution date

Dec 31, 2026Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC

Context

The provided articles discuss young players achieving records and top rankings in sports such as tennis and soccer.…

The provided articles discuss young players achieving records and top rankings in sports such as tennis and soccer. However, they offer no new information regarding Yağız Kaan Erdoğmuş's chess career or his progress towards becoming a top 10 ranked chess player.

Last updated: Apr 28, 2026, 08:53 AM UTC

Based on

en.chessbase.com

AI estimate

Oracul

62%± 8%

TruthMachine Oracle (news-indexer match) · 4 articles

Community 50%

You 50%

AI 62%

Forecasts History

Will happen1

andrey1barAuthor

75%

Won't happen2

Evgeny Ber

35%

Roman Bar

40%

Sources behind the AI estimate(4 publications)

Publications that fed the Oracul, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.

Press lean77% · will

Will happen (2)

en.chessbase.com350–95%↑ 95%

Samarkand R2 (open): Despite close calls, all top teams grab wins↑ 95%FIDE ratings - August 2026↑ 70%FIDE ratings - September 2026–

hurriyetdailynews.comTurkish chess prodigy breaks into global top 20 rankings - Türkiye News↑ 93%

Discussion (0)

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Forecast by andrey1bar · opened Apr 21, 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 3 forecasters · community consensus 50% · AI estimate 62% · open for forecasts.

Author

andrey1barAELO 1404

Creation date

Apr 21, 2026, 09:23 AM UTC

Resolution date

Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC

Discussion (0)

No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!