Dec 31, 2026
Community 60%
By December 31, 2026, OpenAI will publicly confirm that its custom AI chip, Jalapeño, is being used in production to run at least one OpenAI product or service.
CreatedCreation date
Jul 15, 2026Jul 15, 2026, 01:31 PM UTC
ResolvesResolution date
Dec 31, 2026Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Community 60%
You 50%
AI 67%
includes time-remaining adjustment — deadline in 170 days
Probability over time
Drag across the chart to zoom · double-click to reset
Forecasts History
Will happen1
Won't happen0
—
Sources behind the AI estimate(3 publications)
Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.
Press lean77% · will
Press leans toward 'will happen' · 77%Discussion (0)
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!
Forecast by andrey1bar · opened Jul 15, 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 1 forecaster · community consensus 60% · AI estimate 67% · open for forecasts.
Creation date
Jul 15, 2026, 01:31 PM UTC
Resolution date
Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Discussion (0)
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!