The Iranian regime will fall by December 31, 2026.

US President Donald Trump's administration is intensifying economic pressure on Iran, with some officials, like Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, explicitly stating the goal is to collapse the regime. While a former Iranian central bank adviser disputes claims of imminent economic collapse, the UAE's decision to sever trade ties could lead to significant economic contraction. The effectiveness of these pressures in leading to a regime change by year-end remains a subject of debate.