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DAATAN
Dec 31, 2026
Community 39%

A Jewish settlement, official or unofficial, will be established in Lebanese territory by December 31, 2026.

Created
Jul 8, 2026
Resolves
Dec 31, 2026
Lebanese Christian-majority villages have recently rejected claims by Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu that they sought annexation to Israel, emphasizing their reliance on the Lebanese army for protection. Lebanon's president has also warned that Israel's ongoing occupation of Lebanese territory hinders army deployment in the south, while families are returning to southern Lebanon after months of conflict.
50%You
Community 39%
You 50%
AI 5%

includes time-remaining adjustment — deadline in 177 days

Forecasts History

Will happen0

Won't happen1

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Forecast by komapc · opened Jul 8, 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 1 forecaster · community consensus 39% · AI estimate 5% · open for forecasts.