Geopolitics

82 active forecasts

79%

3AI: 62±4%Geopolitics Iran

Iran will initiate a direct military strike against Israel before Israel initiates a direct military strike against Iran by July 22, 2031.

komapc

60%

1AI: 57±12%Geopolitics Conflict

The United States will conduct a ground invasion of Kharg Island by December 31, 2026

komapc

71%

2AI: 40±13%Geopolitics politics

The Lukashenko will not be a leader of Belarus by July 17, 2031.

komapc

AI: 68±15%Geopolitics Middle East

Oman will join the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026.

komapc

49%

3AI: 34±40%Geopolitics Middle East

Egypt will join the Abraham Accords by January 1st, 2030.

Kobi Kai Calev

29%

3AI: 60±7%Geopolitics Conflict

The Ukrainian army takes back, at least temporarily, a part of occupied Crimea by December 31, 2026.

komapc

40%

2AI: 72±8%Geopolitics Africa

Somaliland will become an official part of the Abraham Accords by the end of 2027

Kobi Kai Calev

45%

3AI: 68±11%Geopolitics politics

The US will officially recognise Somaliland by the end of 2027

Kobi Kai Calev

25%

3AI: 63±31%Geopolitics Middle East

A Jewish settlement, official or unofficial, will be established in Lebanese territory by December 31, 2026.

komapc

45%

4AI: 29±22%Geopolitics Defense

The U.S. will formally approve an F-35 sale to Turkey by December 31, 2026.

komapc

39%

2AI: 58±22%Geopolitics France

France and Syria will announce the reopening of their respective embassies by January 7, 2027.

komapc

AI: 53±13%Geopolitics Iran

Iran will publicly present its new Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, by December 31, 2026.

komapc

32%

2AI: 58±41%Geopolitics Middle East

Lebanon will officially recognize Israel by December 31, 2026.

komapc

79%

1AI: 24±38%politics Geopolitics

Bolivia's nationwide state of emergency will be officially lifted by December 31, 2026.

komapc

49%

4AI: 38±8%Geopolitics Conflict

Israel will withdraw its troops from southern Lebanon by December 31, 2026.

andrey1bar

85%

3AI: 48±6%politics Geopolitics

The next Israeli government will not include any Arab ministers by December 31, 2026.

komapc

53%

1AI: 97±4%Conflict Africa

A new military conflict will begin in Africa before December 3, 2026.

komapc

45%

2AI: 48±10%Geopolitics Europe

Armenia will join the European Union by December 31, 2026.

komapc

58%

2AI: 65±7%Europe politics

The European Union will admit at least two new member states by May 28, 2028.

komapc

53%

2AI: 72±23%Geopolitics Europe

By December 31, 2028, Montenegro will become a full member state of the European Union.

Kron BM

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