What are the chances that The U.S. will formally approve an F-35 sale to Turkey by December 31, 2026? As of Aug 21, 2026: the AI estimate is 57%; the community estimate is 44%. · Updated Aug 21, 2026
includes time-remaining adjustment — deadline in 133 days
Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.
Will happen (18)
Won't happen (2)
Neutral / unclear (2)
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Forecast by komapc · opened Jul 7, 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 4 forecasters · community consensus 44% · AI estimate 57% · open for forecasts.
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