Geopolitics
55 active forecasts
President Trump will post more tweets on X (formerly Twitter) discussing domestic economic issues than the Iran war by December 31, 2026.
Lebanon and Israel will hold direct talks on permanent security arrangements before December 31, 2026.
Russia will accelerate the development of its nuclear triad and other advanced systems for its armed forces.
India will be widely recognized as a significant global hub for affordable and scalable artificial intelligence by December 31, 2026.
Will significant new destruction by Sudan's Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in El Fasher be reported by credible international organizations or major news outlets by December 31, 2026?
By 2026-12-31T23:59:59Z, the European Union will formally announce a new collective defense initiative or a new policy significantly enhancing its strategic autonomy.
The Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) will officially confirm that Russia violated the Chemical Weapons Convention in connection with Alexei Navalny's death by December 31, 2026.
A formal, signed ceasefire agreement between Ukraine and Russia will be publicly announced and take effect.
A current head of government or head of state from the UK or Norway will lose their position or formally resign due to revelations in the Epstein files by the end of 2026.
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