Geopolitics

82 active forecasts

71%

3AI: 66±25%Geopolitics Iran

Iran will continue to enforce its two-tier internet access regime for the general public by December 31, 2026.

komapc

65%

3AI: 56±9%Geopolitics Russia

Vladimir Putin will not be the President of Russia by May 8, 2027.

andrey1bar

27%

3AI: 65±20%Geopolitics Conflict

Turkey will acquire nuclear weapons by May 6, 2029.

Dor Moriah

AI: 31±35%Geopolitics Middle East

Diplomatic relations between Israel and Turkey are officially restored to ambassadorial level by December 31, 2026.

andrey1bar

29%

1AI: 68±6%Geopolitics Conflict

Israel will establish a long-term military occupation of a part of southern Lebanon by December 31, 2026.

komapc

45%

2AI: 42±11%politics Geopolitics

Vladimir Putin will officially receive less than 60% of the total votes in the next Russian presidential election held by December 31, 2026.

komapc

AI: 48±5%Geopolitics Conflict

The Houthi movement will lose control of at least one significant territory currently under its control by December 31, 2026.

komapc

57%

5AI: 33±4%Geopolitics Conflict

A ceasefire lasting longer than one week will not be implemented in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026.

Lev Kan

77%

1AI: 57±6%Energy Economy

The price of Brent crude oil will reach or exceed $130 per barrel on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) before December 31, 2026.

komapc

75%

2AI: 43±3%Geopolitics Conflict

The military conflict between the United States and Iran will formally end by December 31, 2026.

andrey1bar

15%

2AI: 35±15%Geopolitics Iran

Iran will officially agree to give up all its enriched uranium by December 31, 2026.

komapc

72%

2AI: 61±8%politics Geopolitics

A significant public split within the Russian political or security elites will occur due to internet blockades by January 1 2029 00:01

Polina Ber

48%

2AI: 66±4%Geopolitics Conflict

Israel will establish a permanent buffer zone in southern Lebanon and official sources will confirm the dismantling of Hezbollah's military infrastructure within that zone by December 31, 2026.

andrey1bar

20%

1AI: 58±3%Geopolitics US Politics

President Trump will order the deployment of US ground troops to Iran by December 31, 2026.

komapc

84%

5AI: 71±4%Economy Geopolitics

The Russian economy will experience a larger budget deficit as a percentage of GDP in 2026 compared to 2025, as reported by March 31, 2027.

andrey1bar

24%

3AI: 42±43%Geopolitics US Politics

The United States will formally withdraw its membership from the United Nations by December 31, 2026.

komapc

AI: 63±9%Geopolitics US Politics

The United States will formally withdraw from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) by December 31, 2026.

komapc

41%

3AI: 49±7%politics Geopolitics

Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel on December 31, 2026.

Roman Halfin

76%

3AI: 68±3%Geopolitics Conflict

At least one additional U.S. military aircraft will crash in the ongoing conflict involving Iran by December 31, 2026.

komapc

35%

2AI: 57±7%Economy Energy

The price of Brent crude oil will reach or exceed $200 per barrel before December 31, 2026.

komapc

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