What are the chances that Telegram will be unblocked in Russia by the end of October 2026? As of Aug 19, 2026: the AI estimate is 25%; the community estimate is 22%. · Updated Aug 19, 2026
includes time-remaining adjustment — deadline in 73 days
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Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.
Won't happen (5)
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Forecast by Polina Ber · opened Mar 27, 2026 · resolves Oct 31, 2026 · 2 forecasters · community consensus 22% · AI estimate 25% · open for forecasts.
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