Dec 31, 2026
Community 24%
The United States will formally withdraw its membership from the United Nations by December 31, 2026.
CreatedCreation date
Apr 15, 2026Apr 15, 2026, 07:03 PM UTC
ResolvesResolution date
Dec 31, 2026Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Recent reports confirm the United States is withdrawing from 65-66 international organizations and specific UN agencies, including the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs. These actions, impacting areas like science and economic affairs, represent a significant expansion of its disengagement from UN-related bodies.
Community 24%
You 50%
AI 36%
includes time-remaining adjustment — deadline in 164 days
Probability over time
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Forecasts History
Will happen0
—
Won't happen3
Sources behind the AI estimate(1 publication)
Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.
Press lean50% · will
Press is evenly splitNeutral / unclear (1)
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Forecast by komapc · opened Apr 15, 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 3 forecasters · community consensus 24% · AI estimate 36% · open for forecasts.
Author
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komapcAReputation 148Creation date
Apr 15, 2026, 07:03 PM UTC
Resolution date
Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Discussion (0)
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!