Dec 31, 2026
Community 35%
The price of Brent crude oil will reach or exceed $200 per barrel before December 31, 2026.
CreatedCreation date
Apr 2, 2026Apr 2, 2026, 08:16 AM UTC
ResolvesResolution date
Dec 31, 2026Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Recent reports emphasize that a new phase of the oil crisis is beginning "right now," with some sources explicitly linking it to a war in Iran. This crisis is described as potentially the largest in modern history, intensifying the discussion around $200 oil.
Community 35%
You 50%
AI 54%
Probability over time
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Forecasts History
Will happen1
Lev Kan
70%
Won't happen1
Sources behind the AI estimate(2 publications)
Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.
Press lean50% · will
Press is evenly split+9 articles matched but not used by the AI
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Forecast by komapc · opened Apr 2, 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 2 forecasters · community consensus 35% · AI estimate 54% · open for forecasts.
Author
K
komapcAReputation 145Creation date
Apr 2, 2026, 08:16 AM UTC
Resolution date
Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Discussion (0)
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!