A significant public split within the Russian political or security elites will occur due to internet blockades by January 1 2029 00:01

Resolved YES if at least two independent, reputable international news organizations (e.g., Reuters, AP, BBC, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Meduza, Carnegie Politika) report on a significant public split, open disagreement, or high-level resignations/dismissals within the Russian political or security elite directly attributed to the internet blockades. The split must involve figures at the ministerial level or higher, or heads of major state corporations/security services. Resolved NO otherwise.