Dec 31, 2026
Community 55%
Vladimir Putin will not die by December 31, 2026.
CreatedCreation date
Mar 31, 2026Mar 31, 2026, 09:59 AM UTC
ResolvesResolution date
Dec 31, 2026Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Recent articles highlight a perceived alignment of interests between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin, alongside Trump's continued criticism of NATO and US allies. These developments further detail the potential shifts in US alliance dynamics, which could indirectly influence Putin's geopolitical standing.
Community 55%
You 50%
AI 69%
includes time-remaining adjustment — deadline in 171 days
Probability over time
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Forecasts History
Will happen2
Won't happen1
K
komapc
55%
Sources behind the AI estimate(1 publication)
Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.
Press lean73% · will
Press leans toward 'will happen' · 73%Discussion (0)
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Forecast by Yana Elisonian · opened Mar 31, 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 3 forecasters · community consensus 55% · AI estimate 69% · open for forecasts.
Creation date
Mar 31, 2026, 09:59 AM UTC
Resolution date
Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Discussion (0)
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