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A ceasefire lasting longer than one week will not be implemented in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026.

Resolution date
Tags
ConflictGeopoliticsEurope
Recent reports indicate that Russia and Ukraine were close to a prolonged ceasefire, but violations prevented its implementation. A proposed energy truce was also reportedly shortened from a week to three days. Experts are currently debating whether the conflict will conclude by the end of 2026.
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Probability over time

Forecasts History

Won't happen1

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