The current regime in Iran will collapse by August 10, 2029.

A recent 40-day war has significantly deepened Iran's economic turmoil, leading to widespread layoffs, unpaid wages, and the collapse of key sectors like tourism, shifting the government's focus from development to survival. Amid persistent power struggles and rumors of President Pezeshkian's resignation, the regime has consolidated power by appointing a hardline IRGC veteran to a top security role and restructuring the military for greater offensive readiness and expanded Basij involvement.

Last updated: Aug 11, 2026, 10:04 AM UTC