Dec 31, 2026
Community 50%
Iran will publicly present its new Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, by December 31, 2026.
CreatedCreation date
Jul 7, 2026Jul 7, 2026, 10:54 AM UTC
ResolvesResolution date
Dec 31, 2026Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei died in February/March 2026, and his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, has succeeded him as the new Supreme Leader. However, Mojtaba Khamenei has remained out of the public eye since his succession, leading to questions about his public role and the potential redefinition of the Supreme Leader's position.
Community 50%
You 50%
AI 72%
includes time-remaining adjustment — deadline in 178 days
Probability over time
Sources behind the AI estimate(5 publications)
Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.
Press lean71% · will
Press leans toward 'will happen' · 71%Neutral / unclear (2)
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Forecast by komapc · opened Jul 7, 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 0 forecasters · AI estimate 72% · open for forecasts.
Author
K
komapcAReputation 123Creation date
Jul 7, 2026, 10:54 AM UTC
Resolution date
Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
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No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!