Bolivia's nationwide state of emergency will be officially lifted by December 31, 2026.

CreatedCreation date

Jun 21, 2026Jun 21, 2026, 10:59 AM UTC

ResolvesResolution date

Dec 31, 2026Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC

Context

The Legislative Assembly has approved President Paz's state of emergency decree, which has a specified duration of 90 days.…

The Legislative Assembly has approved President Paz's state of emergency decree, which has a specified duration of 90 days. Following its implementation, authorities report no active road blockades, as military and police forces have successfully cleared them, allowing road circulation to resume.

Last updated: Jun 22, 2026, 08:48 PM UTC

Based on

theguardian.com

Evidence estimate

Oracul

40%± 46%

TruthMachine Oracle (admin re-publish from pool) · 3 articles

Community 79%

You 50%

AI 24%

includes time-remaining adjustment — deadline in 88 days

Forecasts History

Will happen1

komapcAuthor

79%

Won't happen0

—

Sources behind the evidence estimate(5 publications)

Publications that fed the Oracul, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.

Press lean52% · will

Will happen (2)

aljazeera.com233–69%↑ 69%

Bolivian authorities say no active blockades after state of emergency decree↑ 69%State of emergency: Bolivia’s currency plummets as anger simmers↓ 33%

lemonde.frEn Bolivie, le président Paz Pereira obtient la levée des barrages routiers sans effusion de sang↑ 88%

Won't happen (1)

bbc.comRodrigo Paz declara el estado de excepción en Bolivia “para liberar las carreteras del país” - BBC News Mundo↓ 22%

Neutral / unclear (1)

responsiblestatecraft.orgState violence in Bolivia is ramping up. The US is helping.–

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Forecast by komapc · opened Jun 21, 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 1 forecaster · community consensus 79% · evidence estimate 24% · open for forecasts.

Author

komapcAELO 1404

Creation date

Jun 21, 2026, 10:59 AM UTC

Resolution date

Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC

Discussion (0)

No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!