Bolivia's nationwide state of emergency will be officially lifted by December 31, 2026.

Dec 31, 2026

Community 79%

Bolivia's nationwide state of emergency will be officially lifted by December 31, 2026.

What are the chances that Bolivia's nationwide state of emergency will be officially lifted by December 31, 2026? As of Aug 19, 2026: the AI estimate is 42%; the community estimate is 79%. · Updated Aug 19, 2026

CreatedCreation date

Jun 21, 2026Jun 21, 2026, 10:59 AM UTC

ResolvesResolution date

Dec 31, 2026Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC

Tags

Conflict Geopolitics politics

The Legislative Assembly has approved President Paz's state of emergency decree, which has a specified duration of 90 days. Following its implementation, authorities report no active road blockades, as military and police forces have successfully cleared them, allowing road circulation to resume.

Community 79%

You 50%

AI 42%

includes time-remaining adjustment — deadline in 134 days

Forecasts History

Will happen1

79%

Won't happen0

—

Sources behind the AI estimate(5 publications)

Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.

Press lean52% · will

Will happen (2)

A

aljazeera.com233–69%↑ 69%

Bolivian authorities say no active blockades after state of emergency decree↑ 69%State of emergency: Bolivia’s currency plummets as anger simmers↓ 33%

L

lemonde.frEn Bolivie, le président Paz Pereira obtient la levée des barrages routiers sans effusion de sang↑ 88%

Won't happen (1)

B

bbc.comRodrigo Paz declara el estado de excepción en Bolivia “para liberar las carreteras del país” - BBC News Mundo↓ 22%

Neutral / unclear (1)

R

responsiblestatecraft.orgState violence in Bolivia is ramping up. The US is helping.–

Discussion (0)

No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!

Forecast by komapc · opened Jun 21, 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 1 forecaster · community consensus 79% · AI estimate 42% · open for forecasts.

Author

komapcAReputation 104

Creation date

Jun 21, 2026, 10:59 AM UTC

Resolution date

Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC

Tags

Conflict Geopolitics politics

Discussion (0)

No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!