What are the chances that Large language models (LLMs) will be capable of writing binary code directly, bypassing traditional programming languages, with performance at least equivalent to code written using programming languages, by May 8, 2028? As of Aug 12, 2026: the AI estimate is 75%. · Updated Aug 12, 2026
includes time-remaining adjustment — deadline in 628 days
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Will happen (1)
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Forecast by komapc · opened May 8, 2026 · resolves May 8, 2028 · 0 forecasters · AI estimate 75% · open for forecasts.
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