What are the chances that Iran will continue to enforce its two-tier internet access regime for the general public by December 31, 2026? As of Aug 12, 2026: the AI estimate is 86%; the community estimate is 71%. · Updated Aug 12, 2026
includes time-remaining adjustment — deadline in 134 days
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Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.
Will happen (1)
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Forecast by komapc · opened May 10, 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 3 forecasters · community consensus 71% · AI estimate 86% · open for forecasts.
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