politics forecasts | Daatan | DAATAN

politics

46 active forecasts

57%

2AI: 60±5%politics Elections

In the next Knesset elections, at least two parties currently represented in the Knesset will run and fail to pass the electoral threshold.

17%

4AI: 22±7%politics Elections

Likud will secure more than 33 seats in the next Israeli Knesset election by December 31, 2026.

34%

2AI: 37±17%politics Israel

Benjamin Netanyahu will be pardoned by December 31, 2026.

79%

1AI: 24±38%politics Geopolitics

Bolivia's nationwide state of emergency will be officially lifted by December 31, 2026.

85%

3AI: 48±6%politics Geopolitics

The next Israeli government will not include any Arab ministers by December 31, 2026.

65%

1AI: 51±12%politics Israel

A law mandating Haredi enlistment into the Israel Defense Forces will be passed by the Knesset by December 31, 2030.

58%

2AI: 65±7%Europe politics

The European Union will admit at least two new member states by May 28, 2028.

53%

2AI: 72±23%Geopolitics Europe

By December 31, 2028, Montenegro will become a full member state of the European Union.

60%

2AI: 46±6%politics Israel

Benjamin Netanyahu will form the next government in Israel by December 31, 2026.

64%

2AI: 54±49%politics Law

The death penalty will be fully abolished in Israel by May 18, 2031.

65%

3AI: 56±9%Geopolitics Russia

Vladimir Putin will not be the President of Russia by May 8, 2027.

45%

2AI: 42±11%politics Geopolitics

Vladimir Putin will officially receive less than 60% of the total votes in the next Russian presidential election held by December 31, 2026.

78%

1AI: 39±28%Technology politics

At least three additional US states will pass comprehensive right-to-repair legislation by December 31, 2026.

72%

2AI: 61±8%politics Geopolitics

A significant public split within the Russian political or security elites will occur due to internet blockades by January 1 2029 00:01

51%

7AI: 45±6%politics Elections

Benjamin Netanyahu will win the 2026 Israeli general election and be appointed Prime Minister.

65%

3AI: 44±6%politics Elections

Likud will win the next general election in Israel held by December 31, 2026.

41%

3AI: 49±6%politics Geopolitics

Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel on December 31, 2026.

55%

4AI: 41±7%politics Elections

Benjamin Netanyahu will be appointed Prime Minister of Israel following the next general election, by December 31, 2026.

56%

3AI: 57±15%politics Russia

Vladimir Putin will make fewer public appearances in the full calendar year 2026 compared to the full calendar year 2025.

55%

2AI: 41±11%Geopolitics politics

Alexander Lukashenko will not be the President of Belarus by December 31, 2029.

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