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DAATAN
Dec 31, 2028
Community 53%

By December 31, 2028, Montenegro will become a full member state of the European Union.

Created
May 26, 2026
Resolves
Dec 31, 2028
Montenegro has been an official candidate for European Union membership since 2010 and began accession negotiations in 2012. The country has opened all 33 negotiation chapters and provisionally closed three, indicating ongoing progress in aligning its legislation with EU standards. However, the accession process is complex, requiring significant reforms and unanimous approval from all existing EU member states.
50%You
Community 53%
You 50%
AI 45%

includes time-remaining adjustment — deadline in 902 days

Forecasts History

Will happen1
Won't happen1

Sources behind the AI estimate

+1 article matched but not used by the AI

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Forecast by Kron BM · opened May 26, 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2028 · 2 forecasters · community consensus 53% · AI estimate 45% · open for forecasts.