May 18, 2031
Community 64%
The death penalty will be fully abolished in Israel by May 18, 2031.
CreatedCreation date
May 18, 2026May 18, 2026, 09:55 AM UTC
ResolvesResolution date
May 18, 2031May 18, 2031, 11:59 PM UTC
The U.N. human rights chief has urged Israel to repeal its new "deeply discriminatory" death penalty law, specifically warning against its use for Palestinian residents. This introduces international pressure against the recent legislative trend expanding capital punishment.
Community 64%
You 50%
AI 47%
includes time-remaining adjustment — deadline in 1770 days
Probability over time
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Forecasts History
Will happen1
A
andrey1bar
80%
Won't happen1
Sources behind the AI estimate(1 publication)
Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.
Press lean50% · will
Press is evenly splitNeutral / unclear (1)
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Forecast by komapc · opened May 18, 2026 · resolves May 18, 2031 · 2 forecasters · community consensus 64% · AI estimate 47% · open for forecasts.
Author
K
komapcAReputation 145Creation date
May 18, 2026, 09:55 AM UTC
Resolution date
May 18, 2031, 11:59 PM UTC
Discussion (0)
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!