May 28, 2028
Community 40%
The European Union will admit at least two new member states by May 28, 2028.
CreatedCreation date
May 28, 2026May 28, 2026, 07:41 AM UTC
ResolvesResolution date
May 28, 2028May 28, 2028, 11:59 PM UTC
The recent articles do not provide specific information regarding the European Union's enlargement process or potential new member states. While the EU is mentioned, it is in the context of a migration deal for deportations and detention centers, unrelated to admitting new members. Therefore, no new developments concerning the admission of member states have been reported.
Community 40%
You 50%
AI 47%
includes time-remaining adjustment — deadline in 685 days
Probability over time
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Forecasts History
Will happen0
—
Won't happen1
KB
Kron BM
40%
Sources behind the AI estimate(4 publications)
Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.
Press lean49% · will
Press leans toward 'won't happen' · 51%Will happen (1)
Won't happen (1)
Neutral / unclear (2)
Discussion (0)
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Forecast by komapc · opened May 28, 2026 · resolves May 28, 2028 · 1 forecaster · community consensus 40% · AI estimate 47% · open for forecasts.
Author
K
komapcAReputation 145Creation date
May 28, 2026, 07:41 AM UTC
Resolution date
May 28, 2028, 11:59 PM UTC
Discussion (0)
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!