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Retro Analysis

Dec 31, 2027

קהילה 55%

מדד ה-S&P 500 יחווה קריסת שוק של 20% או יותר משיאו עד ה-31 בדצמבר 2027.

מה הסיכויים שמדד ה-S&P 500 יחווה קריסת שוק של 20% או יותר משיאו עד ה-31 בדצמבר 2027? נכון ל- 20 באוג׳ 2026: הערכת ה-AI היא 67%; הערכת הקהילה היא 55%. · עודכן Aug 20, 2026

נוצרתאריך יצירה

Mar 10, 2026Mar 10, 2026, 04:59 AM UTC

הכרעהתאריך הכרעה

Dec 31, 2027Dec 31, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC

Tags

None

תורגם על ידי בינה מלאכותית - הטקסט המקורי הוא המחייב במקרה של סתירה.

האנליסט הפיננסי אדוארד שלדון צופה המשך צמיחה בשוק המניות לאורך שנת 2026. עם זאת, הוא גם מזהה פוטנציאל משמעותי להתמוטטות שוק או קריסה בתקופה שלאחר 2026.

יוכרע בחיוב אם מדד ה-S&P 500 ייסגר ברמה הנמוכה ב-20% או יותר ממחיר הסגירה הגבוה ביותר שלו אי פעם, בכל נקודה ביום או לפני ה-31 בדצמבר 2027, תוך שימוש בנתוני סגירה רשמיים של השוק. סף ה-20% חייב להיקבע על בסיס מחיר סגירה יומי, ולא רק תוך-יומי. יוכרע בשלילה אם ירידה כזו של 20% מהשיא למחיר הסגירה לא תתרחש עד ה-31 בדצמבר 2027.

האנליסט הפיננסי אדוארד שלדון צופה המשך צמיחה בשוק המניות לאורך שנת 2026. עם זאת, הוא גם מזהה פוטנציאל משמעותי להתמוטטות שוק או קריסה בתקופה שלאחר 2026.

Based on

uk.finance.yahoo.com

AI estimate

Oracle

67%± 3%

TruthMachine Oracle (news-indexer match) · 157 articles

קהילה 55%

אתה 50%

בינה מלאכותית 67%

היסטוריית תחזיות

יקרה0

—

לא יקרה1

55%

המקורות שמאחורי הערכת ה-AI(72 פרסומים)

פרסומים שהזינו את האורקל, מוצגים כמצביעים — כל אחד נוקט עמדה כלפי הטענה לפי אופי הסיקור שלו.

נטיית התקשורת68% · יקרה

התקשורת נוטה ל"יקרה" · 68%

יקרה (3)

F

finance.yahoo.com6729–84%↑ 81%

A Once-in-a-Generation Stock Market Warning Just Appeared. Investors Might Not Like What's Coming Next.↑ 81%The Stock Market Is Sending a Chilling Warning, and History Isn't Reassuring↑ 84%Over 400% of GDP: top analyst finds corporate equity double the level from the dotcom bubble — and triple 1987’s Black Monday↑ 82%Mark Cuban, Michael Burry raise the same red flag warning over giant US sector — is your nest egg at risk?↑ 81%The Stock Market Just Flashed a Warning Seen Only 5 Times Before. History Is Crystal Clear About What Happens Next (Hint: It's Not Good).↑ 80%History Says These 3 Warning Signs Precede Major Stock Market Crashes. All 3 Are Flashing Red Right Now.↑ 80%Why Warren Buffett Warns That the Market Is Headed for Trouble↑ 76%The Stock Market Is Doing Something Observed Only 3 Times in 155 Years -- 1999, 2022, and 2026 -- and It Offers a Dire Warning for Wall Street↑ 80%‘No turning back’: Spitznagel predicts the biggest market crash since 1929. How to prepare your portfolio if he’s right↑ 75%If You're Worried About a Market Crash, Here's the 1 Thing You Shouldn't Do, According to History.↑ 77%The Stock Market Is Flashing a Warning Signal So Rare It's Only Appeared Once Before. Here's What History Says Comes Next.↑ 80%Warren Buffett Just Issued a Blunt Warning About the Stock Market. History Is Clear About What Comes Next.↑ 76%The S&P 500 Is at Record Highs and Hasn't Been This Expensive in Decades. History Says This Could Happen Next↑ 77%The S&P 500 Is Flashing an Ominous Warning That's Been Observed Only Once Before. Will History Repeat Itself?↑ 79%Jamie Dimon's Latest Warning Sends Shockwaves Through Wall Street. History Is Very Clear About What Happens Next.↑ 79%The S&P 500 Is Flashing a Warning Sign Not Seen Since the Dot-Com Bubble. Here's What History Says Investors Should Do.↑ 75%If a Bear Market Is Coming, History Says This 1 Thing Is How Investors Can Still Win↑ 78%Prediction: The Most Important Stock in the Dow Jones Will Issue a 4-for-1 Stock Split Before the End of 2026↑ 76%US stocks are at record highs, but everyday Americans are struggling. Why? And how can you profit from it?↑ 78%If I Could Tell Every Investor 1 Thing About the Next Bear Market, It's This↑ 74%Why US boomers seriously need to prepare for a stock market crash before it’s too late — 3 red flags and what to do now↑ 77%AI Bubble Fears, Earnings and Other Can't Miss Items this Week↑ 73%These 5 warnings hint that one of the longest winning streaks in stock market history is coming to an end↑ 71%When the Next Bear Market Begins, This Is the First Investing Move I'm Making↑ 73%If a Stock Market Crash Is Coming, History Says Investors Who Do This Will Turn a Big Profit↑ 76%If a Stock Market Crash Is Coming, History Says This Investing Strategy Has Never Once Failed↑ 75%If I Could Tell Every Nervous Investor 1 Thing About the Stock Market Right Now, It's This↑ 73%The Stock Market Is on the Verge of Doing Something That No One's Witnessed in Nearly 156 Years, and the Consequences May Be Dire for Wall Street↑ 70%I Know That a Bear Market Is Coming Eventually. This Is Warren Buffett's Single Best Piece of Advice for Investors.↑ 70%“A Possible 1987-Type Fall”: Why Michael Burry Refuses to Cover His Bets as Stocks Hit New Highs↑ 70%The Stock Market Is Doing Something Observed Only Once Before. History Is Clear About What Comes Next.↑ 76%Is It Really Safe to Invest in the S&P 500 Right Now? History Offers a Clear Answer.↑ 79%Warren Buffett's "Playing With Fire" Warning Is Back: Here's What History Says Happens Next for Stocks, and What Investors Can Do About It↑ 76%Warren Buffett Warned About the Dot-Com Bubble. Now, the Stock Market Is Flashing the Same Warning Signal.↑ 69%Michael Burry warns of a 'bloody mess' scenario for stocks sparked by volatility-loving traders↑ 73%If a Stock Market Crash Is Coming, History Says This 1 Investing Move Is Crucial↑ 73%Michael Burry Warns of a Market Bubble. This Indicator Close to Breaking a 150-Year Record Says He May Be Right↑ 74%Michael Burry warns of 1987-style crash, holds Nvidia shorts↑ 69%Warren Buffett Just Shared a 10-Word Warning With Investors. Here's What History Says Happens Next.↑ 70%Wall Street Says the Stock Market's Return Will Crush the Long-Term Average in the Next Year↓ 30%If a Bear Market Is Coming, 2 Stocks You Don't Want to Own -- and 1 You Do↑ 73%Fed Decision, Tech Earnings and Other Can't Miss Items this Week↑ 69%The S&P 500 just hit a new high. ‘Big Short’ investor Michael Burry thinks it could bring a 1987-style fall.↑ 67%President Donald Trump Expected the Iran War to Drive the Stock Market "Down 20% to 25%" -- His Prophecy May Still Come True↑ 68%Scott Galloway warned the US stock market could crash within 24 months thanks to AI. Protect your nest egg while you can↑ 65%Ed Yardeni Just Raised His 2026 Price Target on the S&P 500 to 8,400. 3 Ways The Market Can Get There.↓ 29%The S&P 500’s Danger Zone Is Hiding in These 100 Stocks. 2 Ways to Protect Yourself from the Implosion.↑ 67%Vanguard reveals what could be coming for US stocks. Here’s why it’s raising alarm bells for retirees↑ 68%SanDisk Sinks 7%, Micron Slides 6% as Memory Selloff Intensifies; Seagate Bucks the Trend↑ 68%There's Now an 82% Chance of a Fed Rate Hike by mid-September -- Here's Why↑ 68%If a Stock Market Crash Is Coming, History Says This Is the Best Move Investors Can Make↑ 78%2 Words From Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Sent the Stock Market Tumbling, and This May Be Just the Beginning↑ 68%'Ultimate crash': Peter Schiff calls US stocks a 'ticking time bomb' — but is he right? Protect your wealth now↑ 72%NEAR Price News: Multi-Year Fractal Warns of 37% Crash Next↑ 73%Robert Kiyosaki warns boomers are set up for a historic rug pull and will end up homeless. Are you ready for the crash?↑ 68%‘Big Short’ legend Michael Burry says markets are acting like in the last months of 1999-2000. Prepare for the crash now–Expert Predicts Donald Trump’s Next Inflation Nightmare Is Just Six Months Away↑ 65%If a Stock Market Crash Is Coming, History Says Investors Who Make This Simple Move Will Come Out Ahead–The S&P 500 Is Flashing a Warning Not Seen Since the Dot-Com Bubble; History Suggests This Could Happen Next–The S&P 500 Is Up 13% This Year. Is It Overdue for a Steep Decline?–If a Stock Market Crash Is on the Horizon, History Says Investing in This 1 Thing is the Smartest Opportunity Right Now–The Stock Market Sounds an Alarm Triggered Just Once Before. History Says This Will Happen Next.–Investors: July 29 Will Be a Critical Day for the Stock Market. Here's Why.–The Stock Market Is About To Do Something It's Never Done This Century. History Says This Is What Happens Next (Hint: It's Bullish)–Wall Street’s hot streak is running into a seasonal danger zone: Chart of the Day–The Stock Market Just Made a Move That Warren Buffett Has Warned About. History Says Investors Should Make This 1 Move.–This stock market indicator just flashed a warning not seen since the dot-com bubble–

T

timesofindia.indiatimes.comUS investor Michael Burry who warned Wall Street of 2008 Housing Crisis sees what he calls a 'Bloody Mess'↑ 75%

T

thehill.comIMF warns of sharp slowdown in global economy↑ 68%

לא יקרה (1)

C

cnbc.com327–67%↓ 27%

Shortsighted stock market can no longer brush off war: 'It's too hard to ignore $100 oil'↓ 27%Michael Burry bets against rally: 'We are near a major top, and possible a 1987-type fall'↑ 67%Traders on Kalshi now think it's likely that the S&P 500 will hit 8,000 in 2026–

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מחבר

komapcAמוניטין 104

תאריך יצירה

Mar 10, 2026, 04:59 AM UTC

תאריך הכרעה

Dec 31, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC

Tags

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דיון (0)

אין עדיין תגובות. היו הראשונים לשתף את דעתכם!