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Retro Analysis

Dec 31, 2027

Сообщество 55%

Индекс S&P 500 испытает обвал рынка на 20% или более от своего пика к 31 декабря 2027 года.

СозданДата создания

Mar 10, 2026Mar 10, 2026, 04:59 AM UTC

РешениеДата решения

Dec 31, 2027Dec 31, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC

Переведено с помощью ИИ — в случае расхождений приоритет имеет оригинальный текст.

Контекст

Финансовый аналитик Эдвард Шелдон ожидает продолжения роста на фондовом рынке на протяжении всего 2026 года.…

Финансовый аналитик Эдвард Шелдон ожидает продолжения роста на фондовом рынке на протяжении всего 2026 года. Однако он также видит значительный потенциал для обвала или краха рынка в период после 2026 года.

Based on

uk.finance.yahoo.com

Evidence estimate

Oracul

69%± 4%

TruthMachine Oracle (news-indexer match) · 246 articles

Решается ДА, если индекс S&P 500 закроется на уровне на 20% или более ниже своей самой высокой цены закрытия за всю историю в любой момент до 31 декабря 2027 года включительно, используя официальные данные о ценах закрытия рынка. Порог в 20% должен быть достигнут по цене закрытия дня, а не только внутри дня. Решается НЕТ, если такое снижение на 20% от пика до закрытия не произойдет до 31 декабря 2027 года.

Сообщество 55%

Вы 50%

ИИ 69%

Tags

None

История прогнозов

Произойдёт0

—

Не произойдёт1

komapcАвтор

55%

Источники оценки по новостям(83 публикации)

Каждая публикация занимает позицию по утверждению — в зависимости от позиции, выраженной в её материалах.

Уклон прессы78% · будет

Пресса склоняется к «произойдёт» · 78%

Произойдёт (5)

F

finance.yahoo.com729–94%↑ 89%

The Data Is Clear: Investors Who Make This 1 Move During Bear Markets Always Come Out Ahead↑ 89%‘Black Swan’ investor shares market crash prediction↑ 92%5 Reasons the S&P 500 Could Keep Rallying Through Year-End↑ 84%The Stock Market Is Repeating a Pattern Not Seen Since the Dot-Com Bubble. History Says Investors Should Make This 1 Move Right Now.↑ 91%Wall Street Expects Bad News From the Federal Reserve This Week. History Says a Stock Market Correction May Follow.↑ 92%Warren Buffett sends a strong warning to stock market investors↑ 92%Wall Street's Biggest Bubble May Be Popping (No, Not AI), and It Has Dire Consequences for the Stock Market↑ 88%The Stock Market Just Did Something For the 3rd Time in Over 100 Years. If History Is Any Guide, Prepare For This to Come Next.↑ 85%A veteran economist tells us why he sees a recession and a stock crash by the end of 2027↑ 85%The Stock Market Is Doing Something Last Observed More Than 25 Years Ago. Here's What History Says Is Coming Next for Wall Street.↑ 92%Here’s how overvalued the stock market really is↑ 91%The S&P 500 Is Approaching a Valuation Not Seen in 26 Years, and History Suggests a Crash Could Follow↑ 93%Warren Buffett Just Issued a Blunt Message as This Stock Market Warning Rings for the Second Time in 155 Years↑ 88%If I Could Tell Everyone 1 Thing About the Stock Market, It's This: It Will Crash↑ 94%The Stock Market Just Did Something for the 2nd Time in 145 Years, and History Says What Comes Next↑ 89%A Bear Market Is Coming Eventually. History Says This Is a Key Warning Sign to Look For.↑ 88%These 4 Horsemen Are Threatening the Current Bull Market: How to Prepare and Manage Risk↑ 84%Investing Based on Past Performance in 2026 Almost Guarantees a Bad Outcome. Do This Instead.↑ 88%Stock Market Investors Just Got Bad News From the Federal Reserve. History Says This Will Happen Next.↑ 89%Wall Street's Biggest Bubble May Be Bursting Before Our Eyes, and the Consequences for the Stock Market Are Nothing Short of Disastrous↑ 83%An economist who studies financial crises now sees a leverage-induced US recession by year-end↑ 88%Stock Market Signals a Rare Historical Pattern: Are Investors Prepared for What Comes Next?↑ 87%Rich Dad Poor Dad author warns biggest crash in history has started↑ 82%The Stock Market Has Not Been This Expensive Since the Dot-com Bubble's Peak. History Says to Prepare for What Might Come Next.↑ 88%Bank of America strategist warns market just flashed a 2000 dot-com bubble signal. Here’s how to protect your portfolio↑ 83%Since 1871, the Stock Market Has Accomplished This Feat 6 Times, Including the Present -- and the Previous 5 Occurrences All Ended in Disaster↑ 85%Wall Street Panic: 10-Year Treasury Hits 5.04% and Threatens to Crush Stocks, Mortgages, and the Fed’s Credibility↑ 88%Will There Be a Stock Market Crash in Year 6 of Donald Trump's Presidency? One Historically Flawless Metric Paints a Worrisome Picture.↑ 88%The Stock Market Is Flashing Multiple Warning Signs. Is Now the Time to Pull Money Out of S&P 500 Index Funds?↑ 86%The Stock Market Is Repeating a Dangerous Pattern Not Seen in 60 Years. History Says Investors Should Buckle Up.↑ 88%The Stock Market Is Flashing a Warning Seen Just Once Before. History Says This Will Happen Next.↓ 9%The Big Short’s Michael Burry Predicts a Possible 1987-Style Drop and is Betting Against AI Giants Nvidia and Palantir. Should You Follow?↑ 89%The Stock Market Is Doing Something for Only the 2nd Time in Nearly 156 Years, and History Says It Foreshadows Disaster for Wall Street↑ 86%The bond market is going to burst the stock-market bubble↑ 82%Prediction: Nvidia's Shares Will Fall for a 5th Consecutive Quarter After Reporting Earnings on Aug. 26↑ 84%Tim Cook warns of US crisis: ‘I’ve never seen anything like it’ and Musk agrees. Shockproof your hard cash today↑ 91%What to Expect From US Stock Markets In the Fourth Week of September↓ 10%Historically Speaking, the Stock Market Has Arguably Never Been Less Attractive Than It Is Now↑ 81%If a Stock Market Crash Is Coming, These 2 Growth Stocks Might Be Worth Selling↑ 84%Billionaire Leon Cooperman says today's AI boom echoes a big bust from the 1970s — a lesson from the 'Nifty Fifty' crash↑ 84%The Stock Market Just Did Something for the First Time Ever. History Says Investors Should Be Worried. But Could This Time Be Different?↑ 90%If a Stock Market Crash Is Coming, Here's the 1 Thing You Shouldn't Do, According to History↑ 79%The 11 S&P 500 Sectors Are Fading Quickly. Protect Yourself Against a Stock Market Crash Now.↑ 86%Iran War Triggers Historic Oil Demand Wipeout: Plunge Ranks as Second-Worst in 60 Years↑ 87%The S&P 500 Is Flashing a Rare Historical Warning Signal Not Seen in 27 Years, and What It Could Mean for Investors↑ 88%News Flash: 70% of Wall Street Institutions Are Calling for at Least a 50-Basis-Point Fed Rate Hike in 2026↑ 94%The Stock Market Is Flashing a Warning Signal So Rare It's Only Appeared Once Before. Here's What History Says Comes Next.↑ 80%The S&P 500 Just Did Something Seen Only 1 Other Time Since 1871 — and It's Not Good News for Wall Street↑ 92%Federal Reserve Inflation Outlook Signals a Critical Warning for Investors↑ 89%Prediction: A Stock Market Crash Is Coming. Here's What Investors Should Do Based on Almost 70 Years' Worth of History.↓ 9%The Stock Market Is Closing in on Its Highest Valuation Ever. The Last Time It Got This Expensive, It Crashed.↑ 86%The Stock Market Has Been Reaching Record Highs. Here's What History Says Comes Next.↑ 87%Wells Fargo's new S&P 500 call signals trouble ahead↓ 11%Market Is Primed for a ‘Face Ripper' Rally Thanks to Four Ingredients Says Tom Lee↑ 87%A Bear Market Is Looming: Here Is 1 Smart Move Investors Can Make That History Shows Will Pay Off↑ 89%The Stock Market Is Repeating a Pattern Not Seen in Decades: History Says This Will Come Next↑ 82%Warning Of A Big Sell Off↑ 81%When the Next Bear Market Begins, This Is the First Investing Move I'm Making↑ 73%This Market Signal Seen Only Once in History Points to What Comes Next↑ 88%Warren Buffett Says This Move Is the Key to Surviving a Stock Market Crash. Here's What History Says Comes Next↑ 89%If a Bear Market Is Coming, History Says Investors Who Do This 1 Thing Always Win Out↑ 87%Don't freak out says Jim Cramer as he sends scary 2026 market verdict↑ 85%This Analyst Says A Full Reversion to the Mean Would Take the S&P 500 From 7,000 to 2,500–Fitch Says AI Bust Could Crash US Stocks 35%, Trigger Recession–The Stock Market Is Flashing a Warning Sign Rarely Seen in 145 Years. Here's What History Says Comes Next.–'This could be something more substantial': Wall Street braces for more Fed rate hikes–The Stock Market Is Repeating a Rare Historical Pattern, But History Has Good News for Investors–Robert Kiyosaki Says the Biggest Stock Market Crash in History Has Started–If a Stock Market Crash Is Coming, History Says This Is the Best Move Investors Can Make↑ 78%‘Crazy days’ and ‘silly season’ in the stock market raise the prospect of a ‘late-stage’ AI bubble finally popping–‘Black Swan’ investor backs Michael Burry’s AI warning: ‘Euphoric rally’ comes before historic crash. Protect your money–Stocks could have a tough road ahead if the Fed hikes rates: Chart of the Day–

F

fortune.com487–90%↑ 87%

Stocks are in a late-stage bubble and poised to crash 21% next year, while Treasury yields above 5% will signal a new era of tight money, analysts say | Fortune↑ 87%Top economist says it's 'panic season' in markets and it's your fault for taking summer vacation. Blame the 'harvest time' mentality | Fortune↑ 90%Historically, stocks have offered a big premium over bonds. Suddenly, the difference has almost vanished | Fortune↑ 88%'Crazy days' and 'silly season' in the stock market raise the prospect of a 'late-stage' AI bubble finally popping | Fortune↑ 89%

C

cnbc.com280–90%↑ 90%

History shows financial calamities occur when rates rise rapidly like this: 'Something always breaks'↑ 90%It's time for us to put cash to work in this ugly market. Here's where we will do our buying↑ 80%

T

thehill.comThe next crash could be an economic bloodbath↑ 88%

T

theguardian.comAre global stock markets heading for a crash?↑ 86%

Не произойдёт (1)

T

timesofindia.indiatimes.com39–74%↓ 9%

Stock market crash today: Sensex tanks over 1,200 points, Nifty goes below 23,100 - top reasons for fall↓ 9%Stock market crash today: BSE Sensex crashes over 1,000 points, Nifty50 below 22,850 - top reasons for fall↑ 73%Stock market crash takes Sensex to 6-month low; index tanks 5% in a month as investors lose Rs 17 lakh crore↑ 74%

Обсуждение (0)

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Автор

komapcAELO 1404

Дата создания

Mar 10, 2026, 04:59 AM UTC

Дата решения

Dec 31, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC

Tags

None

Обсуждение (0)

Пока нет комментариев. Будьте первым, кто поделится мнением!