What are the chances that Digger will be nominated for Best Picture at the 2027 Oscars?

As of Oct 13, 2026: the evidence estimate is 48%; the community estimate is 41%.

Feb 28, 2027

Community 41%

Digger will be nominated for Best Picture at the 2027 Oscars.

CreatedCreation date

Sep 2, 2026Sep 2, 2026, 12:46 PM UTC

ResolvesResolution date

Feb 28, 2027Feb 28, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC

Community 41%

You 50%

AI 48%

Based on 7 sources · how this is calculated

Forecasts History

Will happen0

—

Won't happen1

komapcAuthor

41%

Sources behind the evidence estimate(7 publications)

Publications that fed the Oracul, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.

Press lean63% · will

Will happen (4)

hola.comTom Cruise says Alejandro G. Iñárritu's 'Digger' challenged him like never before as Oscar buzz builds↑ 75%

awardsdaily.comNextGen Oscarwatcher: What The Film Festivals Say About the Oscar Race↑ 75%

goldderby.comRanking Sandra Hüller’s 2026 roles by Oscar potential, from ‘Digger’ to ‘Project Hail Mary’↑ 74%

variety.comOscar Predictions 2027: Tom Cruise, Julianne Moore and Proof the Movies Are Back↑ 67%

Neutral / unclear (3)

semafor.com‘A misunderstood masterpiece’–

lemonde.frLa Mostra de Venise 2026 s’ouvre sur fond de polémiques–

awardswatch.comAwardsWatch - 2027 Oscar Predictions: BEST PICTURE and BEST DIRECTOR (June)–

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Forecast by komapc · opened Sep 2, 2026 · resolves Feb 28, 2027 · 1 forecaster · community consensus 41% · evidence estimate 48% · open for forecasts.

Author

komapcAELO 1395

Creation date

Sep 2, 2026, 12:46 PM UTC

Resolution date

Feb 28, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC

Discussion (0)

No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!