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Community 38%

The Trump Mobile T1 smartphone will be delivered to pre-order customers by December 31, 2026.

Creation date
Resolution date
Trump Mobile's CEO announced that the T1 smartphone has begun shipping this week to pre-order customers, following multiple delays from its initial August 2025 target. This development comes amidst reports of new terms and conditions stating deposits do not guarantee a device, and some pre-order customers have yet to receive shipping notifications. Analysts also note the $499 phone resembles a cheaper Chinese-made device, despite claims of U.S. assembly for initial units.
50%You
Community 38%
You 50%
AI 69%

Probability over time

Forecasts History

Will happen1
Won't happen2

Sources behind the AI estimate(13 publications)

Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.

Press lean69% · will
8 will·3 neutral·2 won't
Press leans toward 'will happen' · 69%

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