The Trump Mobile T1 smartphone will be delivered to pre-order customers by December 31, 2026.

Dec 31, 2026

Community 38%

The Trump Mobile T1 smartphone will be delivered to pre-order customers by December 31, 2026.

What are the chances that The Trump Mobile T1 smartphone will be delivered to pre-order customers by December 31, 2026? As of Aug 15, 2026: the AI estimate is 88%; the community estimate is 38%. · Updated Aug 15, 2026

CreatedCreation date

May 10, 2026May 10, 2026, 08:54 AM UTC

ResolvesResolution date

Dec 31, 2026Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC

Tags

Technology US Politics Business

Trump Mobile's CEO announced that the T1 smartphone has begun shipping this week to pre-order customers, following multiple delays from its initial August 2025 target. This development comes amidst reports of new terms and conditions stating deposits do not guarantee a device, and some pre-order customers have yet to receive shipping notifications. Analysts also note the $499 phone resembles a cheaper Chinese-made device, despite claims of U.S. assembly for initial units.

Community 38%

You 50%

AI 88%

includes time-remaining adjustment — deadline in 134 days

Forecasts History

Will happen1

61%

Won't happen2

Roy Jankelowitz

21%

31%

Sources behind the AI estimate(2 publications)

Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.

Press lean59% · will

Will happen (1)

T

theverge.com222–96%settling↑ 96%

I finally got my Trump phonesettling↑ 96%The Trump phone is not a serious phone↓ 22%

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Forecast by komapc · opened May 10, 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 3 forecasters · community consensus 38% · AI estimate 88% · open for forecasts.

Author

komapcAReputation 104

Creation date

May 10, 2026, 08:54 AM UTC

Resolution date

Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC

Tags

Technology US Politics Business

Discussion (0)

No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!