The United States will officially recognize Reza Pahlavi as the legitimate leader of Iran by December 31, 2026.

Dec 31, 2026

Community 50%

The United States will officially recognize Reza Pahlavi as the legitimate leader of Iran by December 31, 2026.

Name: The United States will officially recognize Reza Pahlavi as the legitimate leader of Iran by December 31, 2026.
Start: 2026-08-21T11:50:13.357Z
End: 2026-12-31T23:59:59.000Z
Location: DAATAN

What are the chances that The United States will officially recognize Reza Pahlavi as the legitimate leader of Iran by December 31, 2026? As of Aug 21, 2026: the AI estimate is 81%. · Updated Aug 21, 2026

CreatedCreation date

Aug 21, 2026Aug 21, 2026, 11:50 AM UTC

ResolvesResolution date

Dec 31, 2026Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC

Sources behind the AI estimate(1 publication)

Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.

Press lean83% · will

Will happen (1)

Guy Bechorמבזק↑ 83%

Author·

komapcA·Reputation 104

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Forecast by komapc · opened Aug 21, 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 0 forecasters · AI estimate 81% · open for forecasts.

Author

komapcAReputation 104

Creation date

Aug 21, 2026, 11:50 AM UTC

Resolution date

Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC

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The United States will officially recognize Reza Pahlavi as the legitimate leader of Iran by December 31, 2026.

Situation

Sources behind the AI estimate(1 publication)

Discussion (0)

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