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Retro Analysis

Dec 31, 2026

Сообщество 35%

The price of Brent crude oil will reach or exceed $200 per barrel before December 31, 2026.

СозданДата создания

Apr 2, 2026Apr 2, 2026, 08:16 AM UTC

РешениеДата решения

Dec 31, 2026Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC

Контекст

Recent reports emphasize that a new phase of the oil crisis is beginning "right now," with some sources explicitly linking it to a war in Iran.…

Recent reports emphasize that a new phase of the oil crisis is beginning "right now," with some sources explicitly linking it to a war in Iran. This crisis is described as potentially the largest in modern history, intensifying the discussion around $200 oil.

Последнее обновление: Apr 6, 2026, 01:24 PM UTC

Based on

Evidence estimate

Oracul

51%± 9%

TruthMachine Oracle (news-indexer match) · 136 articles

Resolved YES if the daily closing price of Brent crude oil, as reported by a reputable financial news source such as Bloomberg, Reuters, or the EIA, reaches or exceeds $200 USD per barrel at any point before December 31, 2026. Otherwise, resolved NO.

Сообщество 35%

Вы 50%

ИИ 51%

Tags

None

История прогнозов

Произойдёт1

70%

Не произойдёт1

0%

Источники оценки по новостям(72 публикации)

Каждая публикация занимает позицию по утверждению — в зависимости от позиции, выраженной в её материалах.

Уклон прессы62% · будет

Пресса склоняется к «произойдёт» · 62%

Произойдёт (13)

O

oilprice.com216–93%↑ 89%

U.S. Refiners Face New Crude Squeeze as Canada Cuts Oil Sands Output | OilPrice.com↑ 89%Energy Aspects: Oil Market Has Reached an↑ 89%BMI Predicts Brent Crude Will Remain Above $100 for Months | OilPrice.com↓ 14%Soaring Oil Prices Put Fed on Track for September Rate Hike | OilPrice.com↑ 89%Saudi Arabia’s Critical Oil Bypass Comes Under Threat | OilPrice.com↑ 90%China’s Yuan Crude Oil Futures Jump to Record High | OilPrice.com↓ 6%Oil Industry Braces for Years-Long Iran War | OilPrice.com↑ 90%Brent Nears $96 as Iran Conflict Keeps Oil Market on Edge | OilPrice.com↓ 13%The Hidden Cost of Saudi Arabia’s Oil Export Recovery | OilPrice.com↓ 17%Kpler Sees Oil Grinding Higher as Diesel Crunch Deepens | OilPrice.com↑ 93%StanChart Warns Oil Is Now Built for Sharper, More Frequent Spikes | OilPrice.com↑ 89%Brent Hits $108 as Saudi Pipeline Shutdown Deepens Supply Fears | OilPrice.com↓ 12%Oil's New Normal Is Higher Prices | OilPrice.com↓ 17%Hormuz Attacks Push Oil Toward $100 Despite US Crude Build | OilPrice.com↑ 72%Oil Prices Surge to Four-Month Highs as War Risks Mount | OilPrice.com–Why $100 Oil Is Hard to Kill | OilPrice.com↑ 68%Oil Prices Could Top $120 as Middle East Conflict Escalates | OilPrice.com–Oil Prices Climb Toward $100 as Middle East Peace Hopes Fade | OilPrice.com–Dated Brent Above $120 Signals a Serious Oil Squeeze | OilPrice.com–BofA: Hormuz Needs 10 Times More Ships to Stabilize Oil Markets | OilPrice.com–Oil Price Forecasts Jump as Hormuz Disruption Drags On | OilPrice.com–

KS

Ksenia Svetlova665–95%↑ 88%

✅Запасы нефти Саудовской Аравии, предназначенные для экспорта, иссякнут в течение 5–7 дней↑ 88%BREAKING: Brent crude oil prices surge above $92/barrel after two oil tankers are struck in the Strait of Hormuz.↑ 95%מבזק↑ 78%Nasser Hemmati, Governor of the Central Bank of Iran: Iranian oil exports have stopped, and we are no longer exporting oil at all.↑ 73%מבזק↑ 65%מבזק↑ 65%

Y

ynet.co.il468–79%↑ 79%

"כרגע אנחנו בחוץ, הכול יכול להשתנות": הדריכות בישראל, וההסלמה הצפויה באיראן↑ 79%הסלמה במזרח התיכון: אזעקות בירדן, תקיפה ליד הכור הגרעיני בבושהר↑ 68%המצור הוסר, הנפט זורם - ואיראן חוגגת בזמן שהיא תוקפת את שכנותיה↑ 70%המדינות שתחת האש, והאיום מטהרן: "תם עידן ההסכמים החד-צדדיים"↑ 77%

H

hnaftali.com273–75%↑ 73%

The Ceasefire is Dead: Why the Latest U.S. Strikes on Iran Change Everything↑ 73%Why President Trump Gave Iran Another Chance↑ 75%

M

middleeasteye.netAttack on Saudi Arabian pipeline may cut four percent of world's oil supply↑ 91%

A

al-monitor.com Brent crude rises above $100 a barrel as Middle East conflict escalates↑ 91%

T

timesofindia.indiatimes.com6-week high: India's crude import price hits $100-a-barrel mark↑ 90%

T

theconversation.comOil and gas industry expected surplus – but war brought shortage instead↑ 89%

J

jpost.com Brent crude rises above $100 a barrel as Middle East conflict escalates | The Jerusalem Post↑ 89%

D

dw.comOil prices rise as Middle East conflict escalates↑ 88%

S

semafor.comRates for oil tankers hit record high, as more crude passes through Hormuz↑ 78%

T

thealaskastory.comOil prices surge, with Alaska North Slope crude over $120 a barrel - Alaska Story↑ 77%

Y

ynetnews.comUS, Iran weigh 10-day ceasefire proposal as Middle East fighting escalates↑ 69%

Не произойдёт (5)

F

finance.yahoo.com2111–93%↓ 12%

Citi and ANZ raise Brent crude forecasts amid Middle East supply disruptions↓ 12%Brent crude rises above $100 a barrel as Middle East conflict intensifies↑ 92%Saudi Arabia’s Critical Oil Bypass Comes Under Threat↑ 90%Oil Just Topped $109. Is It Too Late to Buy Chevron (CVX)? History Has a Clear Answer.↑ 91%Oil prices hit very unwelcome levels↑ 93%Piper Sandler raises second-half 2026 Brent forecast to $90 per barrel↓ 11%Oil prices surge past $108 as Saudi pipeline shutdown continues↑ 91%Oil nears $100 as fresh Middle East strikes raise supply risks↑ 91%2 Stocks to Buy if You Think $100 Oil Will Last↑ 90%Oil Just Broke $100 a Barrel. Is a Fed Rate Hike Now Guaranteed Next Week?↑ 92%Why Global Diesel Prices Are Soaring: War, Hurricanes & Drone Attacks↑ 73%Hormuz Attacks Push Oil Toward $100 Despite US Crude Build↑ 72%Goldman Sachs' new oil price target sparks wild onchain trading↓ 26%d OECD commercial oil inventories have “barely drawn since the war began,” reflecting a smaller-than-expected supply deficit and the concentration of inventory declines in strategic reserves, oil stored on water and China.↑ 88%StanChart Warns Oil Is Now Built for Sharper, More Frequent Spikes–Brent Crude Holds Above $100 as Strait of Hormuz Supply Risks Remain in Focus–Brent Could Hit $100 as Hormuz Crisis Flares Again↑ 63%Brent Crude Oil Moves Above $100 for the First Time in 3 Months–Oil prices approach $100 as Middle East conflict flares, Goldman sees potential upside to $120–Brent approaches $100 as Middle East attacks add to oil supply concerns–Wall Street has thrown in the towel on a quick end to the global oil shock–

A

aljazeera.net38–50%↓ 8%

فيتش تتوقع تراجع برنت مع عودة خط شرق غرب السعودي↓ 8%غولدمان ساكس: سعر النفط قد يقفز إلى 120 دولارا في هذه الحالة↓ 23%بنك أوف أمريكا يرفع توقعاته لبرنت ويحذّر من القفز إلى 150 دولارا–

A

aa.com.tr216–94%↓ 16%

Oil prices fall over 5% as US-Iran talks set to resume↓ 16%Brent crude tops $105 as US-Iran conflict fuels supply concerns↑ 94%

F

fortune.com24–8%↓ 4%

Current price of oil as of Aug. 24, 2026 | Fortune↓ 4%Current price of oil as of Sept. 11, 2026 | Fortune↓ 8%

A

aljazeera.comOil prices, stocks surge as Hormuz closure drags on↓ 15%

Нейтрально / неясно (1)

U

univest.inCrude Oil Prediction for Tomorrow 31 July 2026: Brent and MCX Levels–

Автор·

komapcA·ELO 1404

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Автор

komapcAELO 1404

Дата создания

Apr 2, 2026, 08:16 AM UTC

Дата решения

Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC

Tags

None

Обсуждение (0)

Пока нет комментариев. Будьте первым, кто поделится мнением!