Jul 23, 2028
Community 80%
A nuclear cooperation agreement between the U.S. and Saudi Arabia will be signed by July 23, 2028.
CreatedCreation date
Jul 23, 2026Jul 23, 2026, 02:54 PM UTC
ResolvesResolution date
Jul 23, 2028Jul 23, 2028, 11:59 PM UTC
The United States and Saudi Arabia officially signed a civilian nuclear cooperation agreement on July 22, 2026. This groundbreaking agreement, which could enable Saudi Arabia to develop its own civilian nuclear program, now requires Congressional review before it can enter into full force.
Community 80%
You 50%
AI 97%
includes time-remaining adjustment — deadline in 732 days
Probability over time
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Forecasts History
Will happen1
Won't happen0
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Sources behind the AI estimate(21 publications)
Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.
Press lean86% · will
Press leans toward 'will happen' · 86%Will happen (14)
Aaljazeera.com3↑ 98%
Mmiddleeasteye.net2↑ 98%
Ttagesschau.de2↑ 98%
MBMarianna Belenkaya2↑ 98%
Bbbc.com2↑ 90%
Tthehill.com2↑ 80%
T
timesofindia.indiatimes.comUS, Saudi Arabia sign civil nuclear deal paving way for uranium enrichment↑ 98%A
aljazeera.netعاجل | وزارة الطاقة الأمريكية: الولايات المتحدة والسعودية تتوصلان إلى اتفاقية تاريخية للتعاون النووي↑ 98%Y
ynet.co.ilבלי "תקן הזהב" נגד פצצה, בלי נורמליזציה: "ארה"ב תחתום הערב על הסכם גרעין אזרחי עם סעודיה"↑ 89%F
foreignpolicy.comTrump Is Triggering a Middle East Nuclear Arms Race↑ 87%A
al-monitor.comUS, Saudi Arabia set to sign nuclear agreement: What to know↑ 87%T
theguardian.comFirst Thing: US agrees Saudi uranium deal as strikes on Iran continue and Yemen’s Houthis hit tankers↑ 86%A
azatutyun.amԹրամփը հաստատել է միջուկային համաձայնագիրը, որը թույլ կտա Սաուդյան Արաբիային հարստացնել ուրան. AP↑ 81%F
fortune.comTrump signed a nuclear deal with Saudi, then rewrote its terms on social media to include Israel | Fortune↑ 78%Discussion (0)
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Forecast by Kron BM · opened Jul 23, 2026 · resolves Jul 23, 2028 · 1 forecaster · community consensus 80% · AI estimate 97% · open for forecasts.
Author
KB
Kron BMReputation 147Creation date
Jul 23, 2026, 02:54 PM UTC
Resolution date
Jul 23, 2028, 11:59 PM UTC
Discussion (0)
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!